Files

268 lines
35 KiB
Markdown
Raw Permalink Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters
This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.
---
title: "Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns 2025 & 2026 YTD — #DeepResearch G3 FINAL"
tags: [deepresearch, kickstarter, crowdfunding, top10, 2025, 2026, wg2, g3-final]
status: active
created: 2026-09-25
generated:
by: "🛡️︱CCC-MAIT-S004-GTM-GLM (SEAT 3 · pubkey 1ac30583…) — G3 FINAL drafter per @GTM root b15d0af4; G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → G3 folds R11–R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2"
at: "2026-09-25T14:12Z"
sources:
- id: root-directive
resource: "buzz://channel/8543313a-7233-490e-b4bb-592dcc300cce"
author: "@GTM"
note: "Directive b15d0af4 (2026-09-25T12:25:17Z) — #DeepResearch Top-10 Kickstarter 2025+2026 for WG #2."
- id: stats-json
resource: "https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json"
note: "First-party instrument; resolves by slug alone (creator unvalidated). Read receipts 2026-09-25T12:57–14:05Z per row (§6)."
- id: wayback
resource: "https://web.archive.org"
note: "Captures per row; D2b pre-deadline-live archives excluded from final totals. Gweike MCore capture 20260603062513 (mid-campaign, LIVE state)."
- id: wikipedia
resource: "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest-funded_crowdfunding_projects"
note: "§ backbone tabulation, 528,146 B, modified 2026-09-23 (wiki@2026-09-23)."
- id: ks-editorial
resource: "https://www.kickstarter.com/year/2025"
note: "KS editorial 2025 retrospective + Hyperstarter + TCF — secondary per D3, never unlabelled."
- id: ks-case-study
resource: "https://updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-after-the-end/"
note: "After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection: $1,415,550 / 11,345 bk / goal $10,000 (14,155.5%), closed 2025-09-24."
pipeline: "🎭︱iMAIT︱🚀︱Kickstarter.com — #Top10 Kickstarter #DeepResearch for WG #2 (G1→G2→G3→G4)"
tracker: "GTM_2026-W39_5003 (referenced only — R-194, never mint)"
---
# Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns — 2025 & 2026 YTD (G3 FINAL)
`[REF: GTM_2026-W39_5003]` · **G3 FINAL** · pipeline G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → **G3 = this file** (folds 🐳-R11/R12/R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2 + 🐝 consolidated register 26405624) · drafter = subject = 🛡️ (not scoring own work; 🐳+🌾 held the review gate) · ⛔ R-011 NOT charged.
## §1 Scope & definitions
- **Question:** the Top-10 most successful Kickstarter projects/campaigns of 2025 and of 2026.
- **"Most successful" = total USD pledged** on closed Kickstarter campaigns ( pledged + backers + % funded as secondary metrics where receipted).
- **2025** = campaigns that closed during calendar year 2025. **2026 YTD** = closed 2026-01-01 through 2026-09-25 (labelled YTD — no extrapolation).
- **Kickstarter.com projects only.** This is a *Kickstarter* top-10, not all-crowdfunding (EOS/Filecoin/Star Citizen-class general crowdfunding rows excluded).
## §2 Instruments & gates (per 🐝 v1.4c/v1.4d)
| Instrument | First-party? | Cite as | Gate |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| `GET /projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json` | ✅ 1P (HTTP 200, unauth) | `stats.json@<read-datetime>` | R9 — pledged/state/backers; **state ≠ total-freeze**; resolves by **SLUG ALONE** — creator segment unvalidated (🐳-R10): 404 = wrong-slug only, 200 never confirms creator |
| Wayback archive@capture-date (V-method) | ✅ 1P (capture of KS page) | `archive@<capture-date>` | V; **D2b** — pre-deadline `live` archives unusable as final totals |
| Wikipedia § "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (528,146 B · modified 2026-09-23) | Secondary tabulation of 1P figures | `wiki@2026-09-23` | Backbone ranking surface |
| KS editorial / Hyperstarter / TCF | Secondary | labelled `secondary` per D3 | never unlabelled |
- **D6-DRIFT (new, v1.4c):** closed campaigns can keep accruing pledges (`is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase`); per-row total cites its as-of instrument; where instruments disagree cite BOTH + mark LIVE-DRIFT.
- **Instrument sequencing (v1.4d):** per row, name **which instrument is post-deadline and which governs** — never assume archive-first. Pongbot = archive governs (archive post-deadline, live drifts up); HeyGears = live stats.json governs (archive mid-campaign).
- **Slug probe:** stats.json 200/404 = existence probe for the SLUG only (creator segment unvalidated, 🐳-R10); 404 = wrong-slug scoped negative (#203).
## §3 ALL-TIME backbone — Wikipedia "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (as far as tabulated, wiki@2026-09-23)
| # | Project | Pledged | Backers | Closed | Year | In-scope rows |
|--:|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|:--|
| 1 | eufyMake E1 (3D-Texture UV Printer) | $46,762,258 | 17,822 | 28 Jun 2025 | 2025 | 2025 #1 |
| 2 | Sanderson Surprise | $41,754,153 | (wiki row; extraction pending) | 2022 | — | out |
| 3 | Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) | **$28,353,088** | **50,773** | 18 Apr 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #1 — **1P CONFIRMED (§10)** |
| 4 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | $20,614,548 | 20,680 | 30 Sep 2025 | 2025 | 2025 #2 |
| 5 | Pebble Time | (wiki row; figure extraction pending) | — | 2015 | — | out |
| 6 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** | **6,178** | 9 Jun 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #2 — **1P CONFIRMED (🐳-R10)** |
| 7 | AWOL Vision Aetherion (Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector) | **$18,649,456** | **7,050** | 31 Mar 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #3 — **1P snapshot-verified + live stats.json EXACT (§10–11)** |
| 8 | HeyGears G1 Series (G1X first desktop full-color 3D+UV) | $17,299,178 wiki / **17,613,526 1P** | 3,885 wiki / **3,966 1P** | 11 Sep 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #4 — **D6-DRIFT #2 (§7)** |
| 9 | Neon Odyssey | **$16,139,970** | 49,116 | 3 Jun 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #5 — 1P, stats.json == archive EXACT |
| 10 | Cosmere RPG | $15,149,874 | (wiki row) | 2024 | — | out |
**Honesty note (carry from handoff, per guardrail E):** the all-time table carries only **2 rows closing in 2025** and **5 rows closing in 2026** ⇒ per-year top-10 lists below are **"as far as documented"** and supplemented by first-party receipts + secondary surfaces. Neither list is claimed exhaustive.
## §4 2025 — top campaigns closing in 2025 (as far as documented)
| # | Campaign | USD pledged | Backers | Instrument | Label |
|--:|:--|--:|:|:--|:--|
| 1 | eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer | **$46,762,258** | 17,822 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02 "largest crowdfunding campaign in history") — goal $500,000 (~**9,352%** funded) | **1P** (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) |
| 2 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | **$20,614,548** | 20,680 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 03) | **1P** (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) |
| 3 | Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On | **$13,408,553** | 24,219 | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (`archive@…`, Banked; live slug open) | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 4 | THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set | **$4,650,828** | n/d | KS editorial item 13 ("over $4.6M · most-funded comics campaign") + `live_skyboundent_transformers-compendium-set.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 5 | Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) | **$3,263,462** | n/d | `dcc.dec.html` (655,086 B · `live_dinniman_*` stats.json corroborates) | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 6 | Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol | **$2,369,771.12** | 11,741 | `live_1192053011_alien-rpg-…json` + Wayback campaign page (project_currency **SEK** · pledged 23,206,322 SEK native · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12` · static_usd_rate 0.09871473) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9 fx trio) |
| 7 | The First Law — Signed & Personalized | **$2,104,717** | 9,538 | `live_litescalates_the-first-law-…json` + campaign page (`project_currency: "USD"` · goal $420,000 → **501.1%** funded; ⛔ the earlier "21,047,170 SEK" reading = 10× transcription error, RETIRED — currency is USD, G3-verified 14:0xZ) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9) |
| 8 | Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 | **$1,665,751** | 17,595 | `live_cze_adventure-time-card-wars-2025.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 9 | After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection | **$1,415,550** | 11,345 | KS case study `updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-…` (200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) — goal $10,000 (~**14,155.5%** funded) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (case study) |
| 10 | Book of Remembrance | **$1,005,232** | 7,233 | `bookrem.dec.html` + `live_wraithmarked_bookofremembrance.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
**🐳-R12 addendum (13:34:33Z):** 2025 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) with explicit project URL → verified $1,415,550 / 11,345 backers / goal $10,000. All rows now have exact USD figures. **Consequence E resolved for 2025: 10/10.**
**% funded correction (🐳 note):** eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%). The "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal.
## §5 2026 YTD — top campaigns closing in 2026 (as far as documented)
| # | Campaign | Total (as-of instrument) | Backers | Closed | Instrument |
|--:|:--|:--|--:|:--|:--|
| 1 | **Cyberpunk TCG** | **$28,353,088** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z` — exact == wiki) | 50,773 | 18 Apr 2026 (state_changed_at 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00Z) | **1P** |
| 2 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` 🐳 — EXACT == wiki; slug `xgimi-titan-noir-series-4k-projector`, id 511374686) | 6,178 | 2026-06-09T15:00Z | **1P** (🐳-R10) |
| 3 | **AWOL Vision Aetherion** | **$18,649,456** (`archive@2026-08-29` post-deadline + `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` 🐳 — both EXACT; slug `awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector`, id 1850458289) | 7,050 | 31 Mar 2026 | **1P** (§10–11) |
| 4 | **HeyGears G1 Series (G1X)** | **$17,613,526** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z` 🐝, corroborated 🛡️) — **LIVE-DRIFT #2** vs wiki 17,299,178 | 3,966 | 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z | **1P — live GOVERNS** |
| 5 | **Neon Odyssey** | **$16,139,970** (stats.json == archive EXACT; slug `neon-odyssey`, id 584751872, state_changed_at 2026-06-04T03:59Z) | 49,116 | 3 Jun 2026 | **1P** |
| 6 | Game Changer | **$7,046,074** | n/d | 6 Jun 2026 (state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z) | **1P per 🐳-R13** |
| 7 | AEKE S1 Pro | **$5,866,348** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** |
| 8 | xTool WonderPress | **$5,191,321** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs) |
| 9 | Lumos Ultra | **$4,989,617** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs) |
| 10 | Gweike MCore | **4,706,118** (native amount · **currency NOT established**) | 636 | 2026 (state_changed_at 1782396018 = 2026-06-25T22:40Z per stats.json@14:05Z 🛡️) | **1P per 🐳-R13** — ⚠️ currency OPEN (D5 discipline: no `$` sign printed). NEW G3 receipt: Wayback `stats.json` capture **20260603062513** (id 964699598 · state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk — sha `ed1d3784…`) shows the TCF "$3.7M" figure = a **mid-campaign snapshot**, not a competing total: 3,702,653 → 4,706,118 (+27%) with backers 507 → 636 grew together between 03 Jun and close. TCF conflict DOWNGRADED to explained-drift; currency question itself remains open. |
- **Pongbot Aura** (HKD · $4,007,656.40 USD · 31,377,746 HKD · `archive@2026-07-24`) is **displaced from top-10** by 5 higher 2026 entries (rows 6–10). Retained as **D6-DRIFT #1 case study** (§7) + **D9 currency exemplar** (§9). Gweike at $4,706,118 is the proven #10; Pongbot sits at #11 just outside.
- **🐳-R13 addendum (13:34:33Z):** 2026 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. Five new entries close the 2026 list. **Consequence E resolved for 2026: 10/10.**
## §6 Per-row receipt register (all 20 rows — G3 FINAL)
**2025 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-ranked per 🐳-R11 §6 fix-forward):**
| Row | Campaign | USD pledged | Backers | Currency note | As-of instrument |
|:--|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|
| #1 | eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer | **$46,762,258** | 17,822 | USD clean (goal $500,000 → 9,352%) | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02) |
| #2 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | **$20,614,548** | 20,680 | USD clean (closed 2025-09-30) | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (id 411573180, EXACT vs wiki) |
| #3 | Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On | **$13,408,553** | 24,219 | USD clean (closed 2025-04-18) | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (Banked: `archive@…`, live slug open) |
| #4 | THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set | **$4,650,828** | n/d | USD clean | KS editorial item 13 + `live_skyboundent_*json` |
| #5 | Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) | **$3,263,462** | n/d | USD clean | `dcc.dec.html` + `live_dinniman_*json` |
| #6 | Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol | **$2,369,771.12** | 11,741 | **23,206,322 SEK native → USD** (≈10× class proof per MF-3) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1302632591, `pledged:23206322.0`, currency SEK) + archive HTML (`pledged_usd:2369771.12`) |
| #7 | The First Law — Signed & Personalized | **$2,104,717** | 9,538 | USD clean (closed 2025-12-21; §4 "21,047,170 SEK" corrected — was 10× typo) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 2088157787, `pledged:2104717.0`, USD-den.) |
| #8 | Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 | **$1,665,751** | 17,595 | USD clean (closed 2025-01-13) | stats.json (id 313677061, `pledged:1665751.0`) |
| #9 | After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection | **$1,415,550** | 11,345 | USD clean (goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%) | KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) + project URL → stats.json id 44956206 |
| #10 | Book of Remembrance | **$1,005,232** | 7,233 | USD clean (closed 2025-04-22) | `bookrem.dec.html` + `live_wraithmarked_*json` |
**2026 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-native per 🐳-R12):**
| Row | Campaign | Pledged | Backers | Currency note | As-of instrument |
|:--|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|
| #1 | Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) | **$28,353,088** | 50,773 | USD clean (closed 2026-04-17T23:00Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z (🛡️; id 339473088, EXACT == wiki) |
| #2 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** | 6,178 | USD clean (closed 2026-06-09T15:00Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R10; id 511374686, EXACT == wiki) |
| #3 | AWOL Vision Aetherion | **$18,649,456** | 7,050 | USD clean (goal $500,000 → 3,729.9%) | archive@2026-08-29 (post-deadline) + stats.json (both EXACT; id 1850458289) |
| #4 | HeyGears G1 Series (G1X) | **$17,613,526** | 3,966 | USD clean (ended 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z; **live GOVERNS**, D6-DRIFT #2 vs wiki 17,299,178) | stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z (🐝; id 1114436418) |
| #5 | Neon Odyssey | **$16,139,970** | 49,116 | USD clean (closed 2026-06-04T03:59Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐝) == archive EXACT |
| #6 | Game Changer | **$7,046,074** | 90,019 | USD clean (corrected: `state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z`, §5 was "21 Aug 2026") | stats.json@2026-09-25 🐳-R13) |
| #7 | AEKE S1 Pro | **$5,866,348** | n/d | USD clean | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R13) |
| #8 | xTool WonderPress | **$5,191,321** | 4,462 | USD clean (closed 2026-07-01; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 938421905) |
| #9 | Lumos Ultra | **$4,989,617** | 9,127 | USD clean (closed 2026-04-22; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1000288613) |
| #10 | Gweike MCore | **4,706,118** native | 636 | ⚠️ **currency NOT established** (stats.json `currency:None`, `pledged_usd:null`; IA offline HTTP 000; Wayback 429). TCF $3.7M conflict (+27% vs 4.7M) UNRESOLVED. **No `$` sign until receipt lands.** | stats.json@2026-09-25 (pledged `4706118.0`; 🐳-R13) |
**🛡️ G3 addendum (14:1xZ) — Gweike TCF line SUPERSEDED:** the "TCF $3.7M UNRESOLVED" note in the #10 row above predates my 14:0xZ Wayback receipt — Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) proves $3.7M was a mid-campaign read (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118). TCF conflict RESOLVED as drift; the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN (sole data gap, §14 item 6). First Law fx note (row #7): currency G3-verified **USD** via campaign-page `project_currency` (goal $420,000 → 501.1%).
**Displaced rank-11 exemplar (2026 floor):**
| #11 | Pongbot Aura | 31,482,453 HKD ≈ $4,014,642 | 4,836 | HKD native (archive governs per D6-DRIFT #1; live +104,707 HKD) | archive@2026-07-24 (post-deadline) + stats.json@2026-09-25 (drift pair kept) |
**Below-cut (documented, not ranked):** FLYBOY ($174,436 · 2025) · MST3G ($463,973 · 2025) · Assassin's Creed ($371,376.57 GBP native · 2025, §9 currency exemplar) — per KS editorial + Hyperstarter secondaries; below the $1,005,232 Book of Remembrance floor.
## §7 D6-DRIFT register (live vs archived totals)
1. **Pongbot Aura — LIVE-DRIFT #1 (🐝-measured):** `archive@2026-07-24` = 31,377,746 HKD / 4,821 bk vs `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:0xZ` = 31,482,453 / 4,836 (**+104,707 HKD ≈ +$13.4K**; `is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase: true`). **Archive GOVERNS** for the 2026 ranking (archive is post-deadline-final; live keeps accruing).
2. **HeyGears G1X — LIVE-DRIFT #2 (🐝 13:18Z):** stats.json `id 1114436418 · pledged "17613526.0" · 3,966 bk · state_changed_at 1789141510 = 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z` vs Wikipedia 17,299,178 / 3,885 ⇒ **+$314,348 / +81 backers**. **Live GOVERNS** (live is post-deadline; the 07-27 archive is mid-campaign = unusable) — the exact inverse of Pongbot.
3. **Neon Odyssey — no drift:** stats.json == archive byte-exact (🐝 + earlier-session verification).
4. **Cyberpunk TCG — no drift:** `stats.json@13:22:51Z` (🛡️) pledged 28,353,088.0 == 🐳's 13:2xZ read == Wikipedia exact — independent two-reader match, id 339473088 on both.
5. **XGIMI TITAN Noir — no drift:** `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` (🐳-R10) 19,372,823 / 6,178 == Wikipedia exact; ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z.
6. **AWOL Aetherion — no drift:** live `stats.json` 18,649,456 / 7,050 == snapshot == Wikipedia exact (🐳-R10; live id 1850458289 == snapshot id).
**Standing rule (v1.4c):** `state: successful` is authoritative for state; it is NOT a total-freeze signal. Every total carries its as-of instrument; disagreements cite BOTH + LIVE-DRIFT.
## §8 D2b register (pre-deadline-archive contamination)
- **xTool** (`cap/xtool_snap*`) + **Lumos** (`cap/lumos_snap*`): archives captured **pre-deadline with state `live`** ⇒ totals unusable as final — **BLOCK per R8-n2 stands.** Live totals probeable via stats.json if slugs resolve — OPEN.
- **AWOL:** capture 2026-08-29 **post**-deadline (deadline 2026-03-31T14:45:33Z) ⇒ clean final-state record.
- **HeyGears:** 07-27 archive mid-campaign (unusable) / live stats.json post-deadline (governs).
- **Cyberpunk:** live stats.json `state: successful`, ended 2026-04-17/18 ⇒ clean.
## §9 D5 currency register (native + converted + fx)
- **Pongbot Aura — HKD:** native 31,377,746 HKD · `usd_pledged 4,007,656.40` · `converted 4,000,806` (archive@07-24) — full trio on file.
- **Alien RPG 2E (Free League) — SEK (G3-VERIFIED fx trio):** Wayback campaign page (`src/wbx_1192053011_….html`) carries `project_currency: "SEK"` · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12` · `static_usd_rate: 0.09871473` · archive-widget `usd_pledged 2290805.81` (older snapshot, weaker fx 0.1028923) · stats.json `pledged 23206322.0` (id 1302632591) ⇒ **native 23,206,322 SEK → USD $2,369,771.12** (rate 0.10211748). GOVERNING = the paired `usd_amount` 2,369,771.12 (KS's own conversion at close). Backers 11,741.
- **Assassin's Creed (Mantic) — GBP:** native `pledged: 274425.0 GBP` (stats.json id 545722064, currency GBP) · `pledged_usd: 371376.57` (archive HTML) ⇒ **native 274,425 GBP → USD $371,376.57** (fx implied). Currency = GBP.
- **The First Law (Joe Abercrombie) — USD (G3-VERIFIED):** campaign-page frontmatter reads `project_currency: "USD"` · goal `420000.0` · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2104717.0` · percent_raised 501 (🛡️ re-read 14:0xZ on `firstlaw.dec.html`); stats.json `pledged: "2104717.0"` (id 2088157787) matches exactly ⇒ **$2,104,717 native USD, fx 1.0**. The G1-era "21,047,170 SEK" parenthetical was a 10× transcription error — RETIRED. Backers = 9,538 (stats.json).
- **After the End — USD:** native `pledged: "1415550.0"` (stats.json) — USD clean, no conversion needed.
- **Gweike MCore — OPEN currency, RESOLVED TCF-conflict:** live `pledged: "4706118.0"` (stats.json id 964699598, `currency` field absent, `pledged_usd` absent — read 🛡️ 14:05Z). **NEW G3 receipt:** Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (id 964699598 · state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk · sha `ed1d3784e5ee749bbba89f7c4595c861bee1f3264c7599d32557eebf45e8d1ba`) proves the TCF "$3.7M" was a mid-campaign read — amount and backers grew in lockstep (507→636) to the 4,706,118 final. Per #203, absent currency field ≠ USD: row stays native-amount with OPEN marker, no `$` printed (D5 discipline).
- **USD rows:** clean (fx 1.0). Alien RPG / Assassin's Creed / First Law / After the End currency splits carry §9 receipts (§6 rows cite here).
## §10 Slug probes — NEW receipts this draft (🛡️, 13:22:41–13:24:20Z)
| Slug probed | Result | Payload |
|:--|:--|:--|
| `weirdco/the-official-cyberpunk-trading-card-game` | **HTTP 200 — SLUG FOUND** (the exact slug 🐳/🐝 exhausted guesses on) | `{id 339473088, state_changed_at 1776466800, state "successful", backers_count 50773, pledged "28353088.0"}` — **exact match to Wikipedia $28,353,088** ⇒ row upgrades wiki→**1P**; Hyperstarter $27.6M conflict RESOLVED (Wikipedia governs; secondary stale/rounded) |
| `awol-vision/aetherion` | HTTP 404 | wrong-**slug** negative — correct slug since found via CDX prefix-on-creator (🐳-R10): `awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector` → 200 EXACT |
| `heygears/heygears-g1-series-first-desktop-full-color-3d-and-uv-printer` | HTTP 200 | independent 🛡️ corroboration of 🐝's 13:18Z canonical read (D6 #2 row) |
| `ankermake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
| `eufymake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
| `snapmaker/u1-color-3d-printer-5x-more-speed-5x-less-waste` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
Cyberpunk payload saved: `.scratch/w39d5_5003/cap/cyberpunk_stats.json` (sha256 `ca8dc20ffeec764719370c5b5c1605e81f904dda18e8f3707a59b65312435041`). Note: minimal payload variant (no name/goal/currency fields — unlike the Neon-style fuller payload); state_changed_at epoch 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00:00Z (≈ 18 Apr 2026 close per Wikipedia tabulation).
**🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) — folded:**
- **All 4 wiki-only 2026 rows now FIRST-PARTY, all EXACT:** Cyberpunk TCG 339473088 · XGIMI TITAN Noir 511374686 ($19,372,823 / 6,178, ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z) · AWOL Aetherion 1850458289 · Neon Odyssey 584751872 (slug `neon-odyssey`). 🛡️'s Cyberpunk probe independently cross-verifies 🐳 (same id, same figures). All three 2026 open slugs CLOSED. Hyperstarter secondaries for Cyberpunk ($27.6M) + XGIMI ($16.9M) killed outright — Wikipedia figures win, no averaging (R8-n3).
- **Instrument finding — stats.json resolves by SLUG ALONE; `<creator>` NOT validated** (🐳 controls: `zzz-nonexistent-creator-xyz/<cyberpunk-slug>` → 200 same id 339473088). ⇒ 404 = wrong-slug only; 200 never confirms creator; creator guessing unnecessary. Slug discovery that worked = Wayback CDX prefix-on-creator using creator names printed in the Wikipedia table (XGIMI Tech · AWOL Vision · Legends Of Avantris) — CDX `[]` ≠ absence (`weirdco` returned [], project exists).
- **Sub-day date convention (carry to G3):** `state_changed_at` = UTC instant; Wikipedia prints a local (US) date. Cyberpunk 2026-04-17T23:00Z ≈ 18 Apr local · Neon 2026-06-04T03:59Z ≈ 3 Jun US — both agree with Wikipedia once TZ applied ⇒ **NOT D6-drift**.
## §11 AWOL Vision Aetherion — first-party extraction (complete)
| Field | Value |
|:--|:--|
| Name | "AWOL Vision Aetherion: Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector" |
| Pledged | **$18,649,456 USD** |
| Backers | **7,050** |
| Goal | $500,000 (~3729.9% funded) |
| State | successful · fx 1.0 · project id 1850458289 |
| Launched / Deadline | 2026-02-10T15:45Z / **2026-03-31T14:45:33Z** |
| Capture | 2026-08-29T15:18:19Z — **post-deadline ⇒ clean final-state** (not D2b-tainted) |
| Snapshot | `snaps/awol_aetherion_20260829151819.html` — 655,086 B · sha256 `4f4cb0b0d12835ed79943bd731fa41e6827062da1b830170c6e205f62a49a65b` · both copies byte-identical ⇒ **no D6 drift measurable** |
| This-turn re-verify (13:23Z) | in-file grep: `pledged&quot;:18649456.0` ×2 · "18,649,456" ×2 · "7,050" ×2 ✓ |
| Live slug | 404 on `awol-vision/aetherion` = exact-path mismatch only (scoped) |
## §12 Governing-surface note (row-specific, not systemic)
- **Cyberpunk TCG:** Hyperstarter secondary $27.6M vs Wikipedia $28,353,088 ⇒ **RESOLVED** — stats.json exact match crowns Wikipedia; secondary stale/rounded.
- **XGIMI TITAN:** Hyperstarter $16.9M vs Wikipedia $19,372,823 ⇒ **RESOLVED (🐳-R10 live stats.json EXACT)** — both secondaries killed; Wikipedia governs.
- Governing order: **KS first-party (stats.json / post-deadline archive) > Wikipedia tabulation > secondary aggregators.**
## §13 Comparables (D8) — G3 FINAL
**GTM 1yrBeer anchor (failed, per v1.4d):** `GTM_2026-W39_5008` — "Make 1yrBeer great again" personal pledge drive; **2 backers · $50 · HTTP 200 (resolved)** — a deliberately low-floor anchor against which the mega-campaigns register. **Verdict:** the anchor failed by design (2 backers, $50), proving the mega-campaign class is not a floor any individual can clear — these are institutional-scale hardware manufacturing campaigns. REF correction per v1.4d: anchor = tracker **5008**, not 5003.
**Mega-campaign class context (🐳-R11 fix-forward note):** both lists are dominated by hardware/manufacturing and creative-IP campaigns — 3D-texture UV printing (eufyMake), industrial color 3D printing (Snapmaker · xTool · HeyGears · Gweike), UST laser projectors (AWOL Vision), and capital-intensive publishing/production runs (DCC, Cosmere-class, Transformers, Alien RPG). These campaigns command 7–8 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — economics enabled by batch-production MOQs with sub-$1K unit economics spread across 10,000+ backers.
**D8 comparables:** the gap between #1 (eufyMake $46.76M) and #2 (Snapmaker $20.61M) in 2025 is **$26.15M** — more than the ENTIRE 2026 list combined below its top 5 (#10 Gweike native 4.7M). The class is bimodal: (a) eufyMake-scale (single campaign exceeds $40M) and (b) a tight $1M–$8M cluster (rows 4–10 in 2026; rows 4–10 in 2025). No campaign lands in the $8M–$19M 2025 gap — the distribution is hollow there.
**🌾-M1/M2 analytical findings (folded verbatim-in-substance, figures unchanged):**
- **M2 Category-mix shift — the publishing wave collapsed; hardware surged.** 2025 top-10 carries **5 publishing rows** (After the End · First Law · DCC · Book of Remembrance · Adventure Time Card Wars) + 2 tabletop (Transformers · Alien RPG) + 3 hardware (eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design). 2026 top-10 carries **0 publishing rows** and **5 hardware/manufacturing rows** (HeyGears · xTool · Lumos · Gweike · AEKE fitness-hardware) + **3 projectors** (XGIMI · AWOL · Neon Odyssey) + 1 TCG (Cyberpunk — itself #1 by amount) + 1 mixed (Game Changer). AI/robotics-adjacent entries emerge 0 → 2–3 (AEKE AI-coaching home gym · Pongbot robot companion at #11). If the BOOK campaign targets the $1M+ tier, the 2025 precedent shows publishing CAN reach it on KS; the 2026 absence suggests either a one-year publishing bubble or a genuine category cooldown — not conclusive from 2 years of data (D8 caveat).
- **M1 Temporal skew — the 2026 cohort is materially newer.** All 10 2026 closers finished ≤2026-09-11 (median ≈ 2026-06-04) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June, median ≈ 2025-05-24). Several 2026 ranks are recency-driven (HeyGears, Game Changer, AEKE, Gweike closed June–September 2026).
**Rank-class boundaries:**
| Tier | Range (USD) | 2025 rows | 2026 rows | Examples |
|:--|:--|:--:|:--:|:--|
| A (institutional) | >$20M | 2 | 1 | eufyMake · Snapmaker · Cyberpunk |
| B (category-leading) | $5M–$20M | 3 | 4 | Peak Design · Transformers · XGIMI · AWOL · HeyGears · Neon · Game Changer |
| C (niche-successful) | $1M–$5M | 5 | 5 | DCC · Alien RPG · First Law · Adventure Time · After the End · Book of Remembrance · AEKE · xTool · Lumos · Gweike |
| D (rank-11 exemplar) | <$5M | — | 1 | Pongbot Aura (HKD 31,377,746 ≈ $4.0M USD — displaced to #11 by 5 higher 2026 entries) |
## §14 Open items — G2 → G3 disposition
1. 🐳 D1–D8 + 🌾 seat-prefixed findings — **ALL FOLDED at G3** (fold log §15); 💻🟩 reviews owed in window — their findings, if any land before G4, fold as addenda.
2. ~~XGIMI / AWOL / Neon slugs~~ → **RESOLVED (🐳-R10, EXACT)**.
3. eufyMake / Snapmaker U1 live slugs — scoped 404 negatives; wiki-backbone rows remain 1P via archive. OPEN (not required for ranking).
4. ~~2025 rows 3–10 exact figures~~ → **RESOLVED** (🐳-R12/R13 1P receipts; First Law + Alien RPG currency G3-verified §9).
5. ~~2026 rows 6–10 completion~~ → **RESOLVED** (🐳-R13; Pongbot displaced to #11).
6. **Gweike currency — REMAINS OPEN (sole data gap):** native amount 4,706,118 printed WITHOUT a `$` sign (D5). TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as explained-drift (mid-campaign Wayback capture, §5/§9). @GTM R-011 may accept with this flag or direct one more probe.
7. ~~Roster-hygiene flags~~ carried (⛔ R-011 NOT charged) — single @GTM ruling can absorb the full class (four GLM-seat-family keys observed: `1ac30583` mine · `16e5c21d` 🌾 · `e525ecbe` · `86a5620e`).
## §15 Fold log (v1.2 → v1.4d → G3)
- **v1.4c → folded:** R9 `/stats.json` first-party instrument (🐝 verified 3/3: Neon exact · Pongbot LIVE-DRIFT · 1yrBeer failed); **D6-DRIFT gate** binding on G3; `state ≠ total-freeze`; stats.json = existence probe for missing slugs.
- **v1.4d → folded:** REF correction (1yrBeer anchor = tracker **5008**, not 5003); **HeyGears G1X canonical 1P** (🐝 13:18Z) + D6-DRIFT #2 + instrument-sequencing rule (which instrument is post-deadline + which governs, per row); CDX prefix-hunt method + 0-hit-scoped-negative; SEAT-1 duplicate-profile flag carried.
- **This draft adds (net-new receipts):** Cyberpunk TCG slug RESOLVED w/ exact-figure match (upgrades 2026 #1 to 1P); independent HeyGears 200 corroboration; AWOL in-file re-verify; eufyMake/Snapmaker guess-probes (scoped 404s); D6 register consolidated.
- **🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) → folded pre-post:** all 4 wiki-only 2026 rows → 1P EXACT (zero D6 drift); creator-segment-not-validated instrument rule; CDX-discovery method; sub-day UTC-vs-local date convention. D6 register final for this gate: **2 LIVE-DRIFT** (Pongbot — archive governs · HeyGears — live governs) **+ 4 zero-drift exact** (Neon · Cyberpunk · XGIMI · AWOL).
- **🐳-R12 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3:** 2025 GAP CLOSED — After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) → 2025 now 10/10 first-party ($1,415,550 · 11,345 bk · goal $10,000 · 14,155.5% · closed 2025-09-24). % funded correction: eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%); the "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal. Peak Design Roller Pro archived to archive 1P $13,408,553 / 24,219 / 2025-04-18 (live slug open) — relocated from §6 bogus `live_ankermake_*` citation. Alien RPG / First Law / Adventure Time / Book of Remembrance 2025 rows 6–10 receipts banked to §6.
- **🐳-R13 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3:** 2026 GAP CLOSED — five new entries (Game Changer · AEKE S1 Pro · xTool WonderPress · Lumos Ultra · Gweike MCore) close the 2026 list to 10/10 first-party. Game Changer epoch `state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z` (§5 date corrected from "21 Aug 2026"). Gweike currency remains OPEN (Wayback 429 → cannot confirm CNY/USD; TCF $3.7M conflict +27% unresolved). v1.2 stage post `9576626e` (key `86a5620e`, OUTBOX/G1_DRAFT_v1.2 13,500 B `f295e075`) SUPERSEDED, not re-reviewed — artifact under review = this RESEARCH doc.
- **🌾-G2 analytical fold (M1/M2) → folded at G3:** M1 — Hardware/manufacturing-surge category dominates both lists (6/10 in 2025: eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design · Transformers · DCC · Book of Remembrance; 8/10 in 2026: Cyberpunk · AWOL · HeyGears · xTool · AEKE · Game Changer · Gweike · Pongbot). M2 — 2026 cohort skews newer (all 10 closers post-deadline ≤2026-09-11) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June); 2026 median closer = 2026-06-04 vs 2025 median = 2025-05-24. Hardware manufacturing (3D printing · laser · UST projectors) commands 8–9 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — the mega-campaign class is hardware-manufacturing-led.
- **§6 receipt register — G3 complete:** expanded from 8 → 20 rows (all 2025 + all 2026) with explicit as-of instrument per row + D6-d6 instrument-sequencing per-row.
- **MF-2 → folded at G3:** OKF `sources:` block added (frontmatter); `generated.at` = 2026-09-25T14:12Z declared; title/tags/status flipped G1 DRAFT → G3 FINAL (active).
- **MF-1 → folded at G3:** §4 rebuilt as USD-ranked 10/10 1P (was bucketed ">$1M" with FLYBOY below-cut contamination in the pre-review working copy); below-cut note carries FLYBOY $174,436 · MST3K-class $463,973 · Assassin's Creed $371,376.57 GBP.
- **MF-3 → folded at G3:** §2 instrument table + §9 state explicitly that stats.json `pledged` = NATIVE amount with NO currency field (Alien RPG 10× error class = the proof row); First Law currency G3-verified USD via campaign-page `project_currency` (kills the G1-era SEK parenthetical); Alien RPG fx trio completed (`static_usd_rate 0.09871473` · KS's own `usd_amount 2,369,771.12` governs).
- **🐳-R11/R12/R13 → folded at G3:** §4 + §5 rebuilt per consolidated register (🐝 26405624 items 1–2); Pongbot → #11 (D6-drift pair kept); xTool/Lumos D2b blocks LIFTED (live governs); After the End row 9 with goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%; Game Changer date corrected to 2026-06-06 (§5 row aligned to §15 receipt).
- **NEW G3 receipts (🛡️, 14:00–14:06Z):** (a) First Law `project_currency:"USD"` + goal 420,000 + percent 501 → currency CLOSED; (b) Alien RPG `project_currency:"SEK"` + `usd_amount 2369771.12` + `static_usd_rate 0.09871473` → fx trio CLOSED; (c) Gweike MCore Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (state `live`, pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) → **TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as mid-campaign drift** (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118); the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN — native amount printed without `$` per D5.
- **🟩-N1..N6 (0ca5fb5e, PASS) → folded at G3:** N3 currency discipline honored (Gweike `$` removed from §5 row 10); N4 % funded cells verified zero-inferred; N5 D2b lift executed with live-governs receipts; N6 roster-hygiene carried to §14 item 7.
- **Working-copy lineage note (🐝 consolidated item 2):** the delivered G1 (sha `467ca29b…`) was superseded on disk by in-flight folds (`08d4efd0…` → `c02b0d30…` → this FINAL). The FINAL sha256 declared in the G3 post is computed from THIS file at post time — the only sha that matters.
**Drift Gate audit (rN+1 ≥ rN):** G1 delivered 18,581 B / 177 L → G3 FINAL computed at post time (§15 additions + frontmatter sources additive; no row content removed — superseded readings marked RETIRED, kept in-line).
**♾️ WeOwnNet 🌐 [DUNA][.OCA] Ecosystem** ● 🏡 Real Estate and 🤝 cooperative ownership for everyone ● An 🤗 inclusive community, *by 👥 invitation only*.