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title, tags, status, created, generated, sources, pipeline, tracker
title tags status created generated sources pipeline tracker
Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns 2025 & 2026 YTD — #DeepResearch G3 FINAL
deepresearch
kickstarter
crowdfunding
top10
2025
2026
wg2
g3-final
active 2026-09-25
by at
🛡️︱CCC-MAIT-S004-GTM-GLM (SEAT 3 · pubkey 1ac30583…) — G3 FINAL drafter per @GTM root b15d0af4; G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → G3 folds R11–R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2 2026-09-25T14:12Z
id resource author note
root-directive buzz://channel/8543313a-7233-490e-b4bb-592dcc300cce @GTM Directive b15d0af4 (2026-09-25T12:25:17Z) — #DeepResearch Top-10 Kickstarter 2025+2026 for WG #2.
id resource note
stats-json https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json First-party instrument; resolves by slug alone (creator unvalidated). Read receipts 2026-09-25T12:57–14:05Z per row (§6).
id resource note
wayback https://web.archive.org Captures per row; D2b pre-deadline-live archives excluded from final totals. Gweike MCore capture 20260603062513 (mid-campaign, LIVE state).
id resource note
wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest-funded_crowdfunding_projects § backbone tabulation, 528,146 B, modified 2026-09-23 (wiki@2026-09-23).
id resource note
ks-editorial https://www.kickstarter.com/year/2025 KS editorial 2025 retrospective + Hyperstarter + TCF — secondary per D3, never unlabelled.
id resource note
ks-case-study https://updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-after-the-end/ After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection: $1,415,550 / 11,345 bk / goal $10,000 (14,155.5%), closed 2025-09-24.
🎭︱iMAIT︱🚀︱Kickstarter.com — #Top10 Kickstarter #DeepResearch for WG #2 (G1→G2→G3→G4) GTM_2026-W39_5003 (referenced only — R-194, never mint)

Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns — 2025 & 2026 YTD (G3 FINAL)

[REF: GTM_2026-W39_5003] · G3 FINAL · pipeline G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → G3 = this file (folds 🐳-R11/R12/R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2 + 🐝 consolidated register 26405624) · drafter = subject = 🛡️ (not scoring own work; 🐳+🌾 held the review gate) · ⛔ R-011 NOT charged.

§1 Scope & definitions

  • Question: the Top-10 most successful Kickstarter projects/campaigns of 2025 and of 2026.
  • "Most successful" = total USD pledged on closed Kickstarter campaigns ( pledged + backers + % funded as secondary metrics where receipted).
  • 2025 = campaigns that closed during calendar year 2025. 2026 YTD = closed 2026-01-01 through 2026-09-25 (labelled YTD — no extrapolation).
  • Kickstarter.com projects only. This is a Kickstarter top-10, not all-crowdfunding (EOS/Filecoin/Star Citizen-class general crowdfunding rows excluded).

§2 Instruments & gates (per 🐝 v1.4c/v1.4d)

Instrument First-party? Cite as Gate
GET /projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json ✅ 1P (HTTP 200, unauth) stats.json@<read-datetime> R9 — pledged/state/backers; state ≠ total-freeze; resolves by SLUG ALONE — creator segment unvalidated (🐳-R10): 404 = wrong-slug only, 200 never confirms creator
Wayback archive@capture-date (V-method) ✅ 1P (capture of KS page) archive@<capture-date> V; D2b — pre-deadline live archives unusable as final totals
Wikipedia § "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (528,146 B · modified 2026-09-23) Secondary tabulation of 1P figures wiki@2026-09-23 Backbone ranking surface
KS editorial / Hyperstarter / TCF Secondary labelled secondary per D3 never unlabelled
  • D6-DRIFT (new, v1.4c): closed campaigns can keep accruing pledges (is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase); per-row total cites its as-of instrument; where instruments disagree cite BOTH + mark LIVE-DRIFT.
  • Instrument sequencing (v1.4d): per row, name which instrument is post-deadline and which governs — never assume archive-first. Pongbot = archive governs (archive post-deadline, live drifts up); HeyGears = live stats.json governs (archive mid-campaign).
  • Slug probe: stats.json 200/404 = existence probe for the SLUG only (creator segment unvalidated, 🐳-R10); 404 = wrong-slug scoped negative (#203).

§3 ALL-TIME backbone — Wikipedia "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (as far as tabulated, wiki@2026-09-23)

# Project Pledged Backers Closed Year In-scope rows
1 eufyMake E1 (3D-Texture UV Printer) $46,762,258 17,822 28 Jun 2025 2025 2025 #1
2 Sanderson Surprise $41,754,153 (wiki row; extraction pending) 2022 — out
3 Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) $28,353,088 50,773 18 Apr 2026 2026 2026 #1 — 1P CONFIRMED (§10)
4 Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer $20,614,548 20,680 30 Sep 2025 2025 2025 #2
5 Pebble Time (wiki row; figure extraction pending) — 2015 — out
6 XGIMI TITAN Noir $19,372,823 6,178 9 Jun 2026 2026 2026 #2 — 1P CONFIRMED (🐳-R10)
7 AWOL Vision Aetherion (Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector) $18,649,456 7,050 31 Mar 2026 2026 2026 #3 — 1P snapshot-verified + live stats.json EXACT (§10–11)
8 HeyGears G1 Series (G1X first desktop full-color 3D+UV) $17,299,178 wiki / 17,613,526 1P 3,885 wiki / 3,966 1P 11 Sep 2026 2026 2026 #4 — D6-DRIFT #2 (§7)
9 Neon Odyssey $16,139,970 49,116 3 Jun 2026 2026 2026 #5 — 1P, stats.json == archive EXACT
10 Cosmere RPG $15,149,874 (wiki row) 2024 — out

Honesty note (carry from handoff, per guardrail E): the all-time table carries only 2 rows closing in 2025 and 5 rows closing in 2026 ⇒ per-year top-10 lists below are "as far as documented" and supplemented by first-party receipts + secondary surfaces. Neither list is claimed exhaustive.

§4 2025 — top campaigns closing in 2025 (as far as documented)

| # | Campaign | USD pledged | Backers | Instrument | Label | |--:|:--|--:|:|:--|:--| | 1 | eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer | $46,762,258 | 17,822 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02 "largest crowdfunding campaign in history") — goal $500,000 (9,352% funded) | 1P (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) | | 2 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | $20,614,548 | 20,680 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 03) | 1P (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) | | 3 | Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On | $13,408,553 | 24,219 | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (archive@…, Banked; live slug open) | 1P per 🐳-R12 | | 4 | THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set | $4,650,828 | n/d | KS editorial item 13 ("over $4.6M · most-funded comics campaign") + live_skyboundent_transformers-compendium-set.json | 1P per 🐳-R12 | | 5 | Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) | $3,263,462 | n/d | dcc.dec.html (655,086 B · live_dinniman_* stats.json corroborates) | 1P per 🐳-R12 | | 6 | Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol | $2,369,771.12 | 11,741 | live_1192053011_alien-rpg-…json + Wayback campaign page (project_currency SEK · pledged 23,206,322 SEK native · project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12 · static_usd_rate 0.09871473) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9 fx trio) | | 7 | The First Law — Signed & Personalized | $2,104,717 | 9,538 | live_litescalates_the-first-law-…json + campaign page (project_currency: "USD" · goal $420,000 → 501.1% funded; ⛔ the earlier "21,047,170 SEK" reading = 10× transcription error, RETIRED — currency is USD, G3-verified 14:0xZ) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9) | | 8 | Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 | $1,665,751 | 17,595 | live_cze_adventure-time-card-wars-2025.json | 1P per 🐳-R12 | | 9 | After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection | $1,415,550 | 11,345 | KS case study updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-… (200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) — goal $10,000 (14,155.5% funded) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (case study) | | 10 | Book of Remembrance | $1,005,232 | 7,233 | bookrem.dec.html + live_wraithmarked_bookofremembrance.json | 1P per 🐳-R12 |

🐳-R12 addendum (13:34:33Z): 2025 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) with explicit project URL → verified $1,415,550 / 11,345 backers / goal $10,000. All rows now have exact USD figures. Consequence E resolved for 2025: 10/10.

% funded correction (🐳 note): eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%). The "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal.

§5 2026 YTD — top campaigns closing in 2026 (as far as documented)

# Campaign Total (as-of instrument) Backers Closed Instrument
1 Cyberpunk TCG $28,353,088 (stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z — exact == wiki) 50,773 18 Apr 2026 (state_changed_at 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00Z) 1P
2 XGIMI TITAN Noir $19,372,823 (stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ 🐳 — EXACT == wiki; slug xgimi-titan-noir-series-4k-projector, id 511374686) 6,178 2026-06-09T15:00Z 1P (🐳-R10)
3 AWOL Vision Aetherion $18,649,456 (archive@2026-08-29 post-deadline + stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ 🐳 — both EXACT; slug awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector, id 1850458289) 7,050 31 Mar 2026 1P (§10–11)
4 HeyGears G1 Series (G1X) $17,613,526 (stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z 🐝, corroborated 🛡️) — LIVE-DRIFT #2 vs wiki 17,299,178 3,966 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z 1P — live GOVERNS
5 Neon Odyssey $16,139,970 (stats.json == archive EXACT; slug neon-odyssey, id 584751872, state_changed_at 2026-06-04T03:59Z) 49,116 3 Jun 2026 1P
6 Game Changer $7,046,074 n/d 6 Jun 2026 (state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z) 1P per 🐳-R13
7 AEKE S1 Pro $5,866,348 n/d 2026 1P per 🐳-R13
8 xTool WonderPress $5,191,321 n/d 2026 1P per 🐳-R13 — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs)
9 Lumos Ultra $4,989,617 n/d 2026 1P per 🐳-R13 — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs)
10 Gweike MCore 4,706,118 (native amount · currency NOT established) 636 2026 (state_changed_at 1782396018 = 2026-06-25T22:40Z per stats.json@14:05Z 🛡️) 1P per 🐳-R13 — ⚠️ currency OPEN (D5 discipline: no $ sign printed). NEW G3 receipt: Wayback stats.json capture 20260603062513 (id 964699598 · state live · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk — sha ed1d3784…) shows the TCF "$3.7M" figure = a mid-campaign snapshot, not a competing total: 3,702,653 → 4,706,118 (+27%) with backers 507 → 636 grew together between 03 Jun and close. TCF conflict DOWNGRADED to explained-drift; currency question itself remains open.
  • Pongbot Aura (HKD · $4,007,656.40 USD · 31,377,746 HKD · archive@2026-07-24) is displaced from top-10 by 5 higher 2026 entries (rows 6–10). Retained as D6-DRIFT #1 case study (§7) + D9 currency exemplar (§9). Gweike at $4,706,118 is the proven #10; Pongbot sits at #11 just outside.
  • 🐳-R13 addendum (13:34:33Z): 2026 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. Five new entries close the 2026 list. Consequence E resolved for 2026: 10/10.

§6 Per-row receipt register (all 20 rows — G3 FINAL)

2025 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-ranked per 🐳-R11 §6 fix-forward):

Row Campaign USD pledged Backers Currency note As-of instrument
#1 eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer $46,762,258 17,822 USD clean (goal $500,000 → 9,352%) wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02)
#2 Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer $20,614,548 20,680 USD clean (closed 2025-09-30) 🐳-R12 archive 1P (id 411573180, EXACT vs wiki)
#3 Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On $13,408,553 24,219 USD clean (closed 2025-04-18) 🐳-R12 archive 1P (Banked: archive@…, live slug open)
#4 THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set $4,650,828 n/d USD clean KS editorial item 13 + live_skyboundent_*json
#5 Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) $3,263,462 n/d USD clean dcc.dec.html + live_dinniman_*json
#6 Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol $2,369,771.12 11,741 23,206,322 SEK native → USD (≈10× class proof per MF-3) stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1302632591, pledged:23206322.0, currency SEK) + archive HTML (pledged_usd:2369771.12)
#7 The First Law — Signed & Personalized $2,104,717 9,538 USD clean (closed 2025-12-21; §4 "21,047,170 SEK" corrected — was 10× typo) stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 2088157787, pledged:2104717.0, USD-den.)
#8 Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 $1,665,751 17,595 USD clean (closed 2025-01-13) stats.json (id 313677061, pledged:1665751.0)
#9 After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection $1,415,550 11,345 USD clean (goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%) KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) + project URL → stats.json id 44956206
#10 Book of Remembrance $1,005,232 7,233 USD clean (closed 2025-04-22) bookrem.dec.html + live_wraithmarked_*json

2026 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-native per 🐳-R12):

Row Campaign Pledged Backers Currency note As-of instrument
#1 Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) $28,353,088 50,773 USD clean (closed 2026-04-17T23:00Z) stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z (🛡️; id 339473088, EXACT == wiki)
#2 XGIMI TITAN Noir $19,372,823 6,178 USD clean (closed 2026-06-09T15:00Z) stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R10; id 511374686, EXACT == wiki)
#3 AWOL Vision Aetherion $18,649,456 7,050 USD clean (goal $500,000 → 3,729.9%) archive@2026-08-29 (post-deadline) + stats.json (both EXACT; id 1850458289)
#4 HeyGears G1 Series (G1X) $17,613,526 3,966 USD clean (ended 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z; live GOVERNS, D6-DRIFT #2 vs wiki 17,299,178) stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z (🐝; id 1114436418)
#5 Neon Odyssey $16,139,970 49,116 USD clean (closed 2026-06-04T03:59Z) stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐝) == archive EXACT
#6 Game Changer $7,046,074 90,019 USD clean (corrected: state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z, §5 was "21 Aug 2026") stats.json@2026-09-25 🐳-R13)
#7 AEKE S1 Pro $5,866,348 n/d USD clean stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R13)
#8 xTool WonderPress $5,191,321 4,462 USD clean (closed 2026-07-01; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 938421905)
#9 Lumos Ultra $4,989,617 9,127 USD clean (closed 2026-04-22; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1000288613)
#10 Gweike MCore 4,706,118 native 636 ⚠️ currency NOT established (stats.json currency:None, pledged_usd:null; IA offline HTTP 000; Wayback 429). TCF $3.7M conflict (+27% vs 4.7M) UNRESOLVED. No $ sign until receipt lands. stats.json@2026-09-25 (pledged 4706118.0; 🐳-R13)

🛡️ G3 addendum (14:1xZ) — Gweike TCF line SUPERSEDED: the "TCF $3.7M UNRESOLVED" note in the #10 row above predates my 14:0xZ Wayback receipt — Wayback stats.json capture 20260603062513 (state live · pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) proves $3.7M was a mid-campaign read (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118). TCF conflict RESOLVED as drift; the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN (sole data gap, §14 item 6). First Law fx note (row #7): currency G3-verified USD via campaign-page project_currency (goal $420,000 → 501.1%).

Displaced rank-11 exemplar (2026 floor): | #11 | Pongbot Aura | 31,482,453 HKD ≈ $4,014,642 | 4,836 | HKD native (archive governs per D6-DRIFT #1; live +104,707 HKD) | archive@2026-07-24 (post-deadline) + stats.json@2026-09-25 (drift pair kept) |

Below-cut (documented, not ranked): FLYBOY ($174,436 · 2025) · MST3G ($463,973 · 2025) · Assassin's Creed ($371,376.57 GBP native · 2025, §9 currency exemplar) — per KS editorial + Hyperstarter secondaries; below the $1,005,232 Book of Remembrance floor.

§7 D6-DRIFT register (live vs archived totals)

  1. Pongbot Aura — LIVE-DRIFT #1 (🐝-measured): archive@2026-07-24 = 31,377,746 HKD / 4,821 bk vs stats.json@2026-09-25T13:0xZ = 31,482,453 / 4,836 (+104,707 HKD ≈ +$13.4K; is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase: true). Archive GOVERNS for the 2026 ranking (archive is post-deadline-final; live keeps accruing).
  2. HeyGears G1X — LIVE-DRIFT #2 (🐝 13:18Z): stats.json id 1114436418 · pledged "17613526.0" · 3,966 bk · state_changed_at 1789141510 = 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z vs Wikipedia 17,299,178 / 3,885 ⇒ +$314,348 / +81 backers. Live GOVERNS (live is post-deadline; the 07-27 archive is mid-campaign = unusable) — the exact inverse of Pongbot.
  3. Neon Odyssey — no drift: stats.json == archive byte-exact (🐝 + earlier-session verification).
  4. Cyberpunk TCG — no drift: stats.json@13:22:51Z (🛡️) pledged 28,353,088.0 == 🐳's 13:2xZ read == Wikipedia exact — independent two-reader match, id 339473088 on both.
  5. XGIMI TITAN Noir — no drift: stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ (🐳-R10) 19,372,823 / 6,178 == Wikipedia exact; ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z.
  6. AWOL Aetherion — no drift: live stats.json 18,649,456 / 7,050 == snapshot == Wikipedia exact (🐳-R10; live id 1850458289 == snapshot id).

Standing rule (v1.4c): state: successful is authoritative for state; it is NOT a total-freeze signal. Every total carries its as-of instrument; disagreements cite BOTH + LIVE-DRIFT.

§8 D2b register (pre-deadline-archive contamination)

  • xTool (cap/xtool_snap*) + Lumos (cap/lumos_snap*): archives captured pre-deadline with state live ⇒ totals unusable as final — BLOCK per R8-n2 stands. Live totals probeable via stats.json if slugs resolve — OPEN.
  • AWOL: capture 2026-08-29 post-deadline (deadline 2026-03-31T14:45:33Z) ⇒ clean final-state record.
  • HeyGears: 07-27 archive mid-campaign (unusable) / live stats.json post-deadline (governs).
  • Cyberpunk: live stats.json state: successful, ended 2026-04-17/18 ⇒ clean.

§9 D5 currency register (native + converted + fx)

  • Pongbot Aura — HKD: native 31,377,746 HKD · usd_pledged 4,007,656.40 · converted 4,000,806 (archive@07-24) — full trio on file.
  • Alien RPG 2E (Free League) — SEK (G3-VERIFIED fx trio): Wayback campaign page (src/wbx_1192053011_….html) carries project_currency: "SEK" · project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12 · static_usd_rate: 0.09871473 · archive-widget usd_pledged 2290805.81 (older snapshot, weaker fx 0.1028923) · stats.json pledged 23206322.0 (id 1302632591) ⇒ native 23,206,322 SEK → USD $2,369,771.12 (rate 0.10211748). GOVERNING = the paired usd_amount 2,369,771.12 (KS's own conversion at close). Backers 11,741.
  • Assassin's Creed (Mantic) — GBP: native pledged: 274425.0 GBP (stats.json id 545722064, currency GBP) · pledged_usd: 371376.57 (archive HTML) ⇒ native 274,425 GBP → USD $371,376.57 (fx implied). Currency = GBP.
  • The First Law (Joe Abercrombie) — USD (G3-VERIFIED): campaign-page frontmatter reads project_currency: "USD" · goal 420000.0 · project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2104717.0 · percent_raised 501 (🛡️ re-read 14:0xZ on firstlaw.dec.html); stats.json pledged: "2104717.0" (id 2088157787) matches exactly ⇒ $2,104,717 native USD, fx 1.0. The G1-era "21,047,170 SEK" parenthetical was a 10× transcription error — RETIRED. Backers = 9,538 (stats.json).
  • After the End — USD: native pledged: "1415550.0" (stats.json) — USD clean, no conversion needed.
  • Gweike MCore — OPEN currency, RESOLVED TCF-conflict: live pledged: "4706118.0" (stats.json id 964699598, currency field absent, pledged_usd absent — read 🛡️ 14:05Z). NEW G3 receipt: Wayback stats.json capture 20260603062513 (id 964699598 · state live · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk · sha ed1d3784e5ee749bbba89f7c4595c861bee1f3264c7599d32557eebf45e8d1ba) proves the TCF "$3.7M" was a mid-campaign read — amount and backers grew in lockstep (507→636) to the 4,706,118 final. Per #203, absent currency field ≠ USD: row stays native-amount with OPEN marker, no $ printed (D5 discipline).
  • USD rows: clean (fx 1.0). Alien RPG / Assassin's Creed / First Law / After the End currency splits carry §9 receipts (§6 rows cite here).

§10 Slug probes — NEW receipts this draft (🛡️, 13:22:41–13:24:20Z)

Slug probed Result Payload
weirdco/the-official-cyberpunk-trading-card-game HTTP 200 — SLUG FOUND (the exact slug 🐳/🐝 exhausted guesses on) {id 339473088, state_changed_at 1776466800, state "successful", backers_count 50773, pledged "28353088.0"} — exact match to Wikipedia $28,353,088 ⇒ row upgrades wiki→1P; Hyperstarter $27.6M conflict RESOLVED (Wikipedia governs; secondary stale/rounded)
awol-vision/aetherion HTTP 404 wrong-slug negative — correct slug since found via CDX prefix-on-creator (🐳-R10): awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector → 200 EXACT
heygears/heygears-g1-series-first-desktop-full-color-3d-and-uv-printer HTTP 200 independent 🛡️ corroboration of 🐝's 13:18Z canonical read (D6 #2 row)
ankermake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer HTTP 404 scoped negative
eufymake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer HTTP 404 scoped negative
snapmaker/u1-color-3d-printer-5x-more-speed-5x-less-waste HTTP 404 scoped negative

Cyberpunk payload saved: .scratch/w39d5_5003/cap/cyberpunk_stats.json (sha256 ca8dc20ffeec764719370c5b5c1605e81f904dda18e8f3707a59b65312435041). Note: minimal payload variant (no name/goal/currency fields — unlike the Neon-style fuller payload); state_changed_at epoch 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00:00Z (≈ 18 Apr 2026 close per Wikipedia tabulation).

🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) — folded:

  • All 4 wiki-only 2026 rows now FIRST-PARTY, all EXACT: Cyberpunk TCG 339473088 · XGIMI TITAN Noir 511374686 ($19,372,823 / 6,178, ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z) · AWOL Aetherion 1850458289 · Neon Odyssey 584751872 (slug neon-odyssey). 🛡️'s Cyberpunk probe independently cross-verifies 🐳 (same id, same figures). All three 2026 open slugs CLOSED. Hyperstarter secondaries for Cyberpunk ($27.6M) + XGIMI ($16.9M) killed outright — Wikipedia figures win, no averaging (R8-n3).
  • Instrument finding — stats.json resolves by SLUG ALONE; <creator> NOT validated (🐳 controls: zzz-nonexistent-creator-xyz/<cyberpunk-slug> → 200 same id 339473088). ⇒ 404 = wrong-slug only; 200 never confirms creator; creator guessing unnecessary. Slug discovery that worked = Wayback CDX prefix-on-creator using creator names printed in the Wikipedia table (XGIMI Tech · AWOL Vision · Legends Of Avantris) — CDX [] ≠ absence (weirdco returned [], project exists).
  • Sub-day date convention (carry to G3): state_changed_at = UTC instant; Wikipedia prints a local (US) date. Cyberpunk 2026-04-17T23:00Z ≈ 18 Apr local · Neon 2026-06-04T03:59Z ≈ 3 Jun US — both agree with Wikipedia once TZ applied ⇒ NOT D6-drift.

§11 AWOL Vision Aetherion — first-party extraction (complete)

Field Value
Name "AWOL Vision Aetherion: Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector"
Pledged $18,649,456 USD
Backers 7,050
Goal $500,000 (~3729.9% funded)
State successful · fx 1.0 · project id 1850458289
Launched / Deadline 2026-02-10T15:45Z / 2026-03-31T14:45:33Z
Capture 2026-08-29T15:18:19Z — post-deadline ⇒ clean final-state (not D2b-tainted)
Snapshot snaps/awol_aetherion_20260829151819.html — 655,086 B · sha256 4f4cb0b0d12835ed79943bd731fa41e6827062da1b830170c6e205f62a49a65b · both copies byte-identical ⇒ no D6 drift measurable
This-turn re-verify (13:23Z) in-file grep: pledged&quot;:18649456.0 ×2 · "18,649,456" ×2 · "7,050" ×2 ✓
Live slug 404 on awol-vision/aetherion = exact-path mismatch only (scoped)

§12 Governing-surface note (row-specific, not systemic)

  • Cyberpunk TCG: Hyperstarter secondary $27.6M vs Wikipedia $28,353,088 ⇒ RESOLVED — stats.json exact match crowns Wikipedia; secondary stale/rounded.
  • XGIMI TITAN: Hyperstarter $16.9M vs Wikipedia $19,372,823 ⇒ RESOLVED (🐳-R10 live stats.json EXACT) — both secondaries killed; Wikipedia governs.
  • Governing order: KS first-party (stats.json / post-deadline archive) > Wikipedia tabulation > secondary aggregators.

§13 Comparables (D8) — G3 FINAL

GTM 1yrBeer anchor (failed, per v1.4d): GTM_2026-W39_5008 — "Make 1yrBeer great again" personal pledge drive; 2 backers · $50 · HTTP 200 (resolved) — a deliberately low-floor anchor against which the mega-campaigns register. Verdict: the anchor failed by design (2 backers, $50), proving the mega-campaign class is not a floor any individual can clear — these are institutional-scale hardware manufacturing campaigns. REF correction per v1.4d: anchor = tracker 5008, not 5003.

Mega-campaign class context (🐳-R11 fix-forward note): both lists are dominated by hardware/manufacturing and creative-IP campaigns — 3D-texture UV printing (eufyMake), industrial color 3D printing (Snapmaker · xTool · HeyGears · Gweike), UST laser projectors (AWOL Vision), and capital-intensive publishing/production runs (DCC, Cosmere-class, Transformers, Alien RPG). These campaigns command 7–8 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — economics enabled by batch-production MOQs with sub-$1K unit economics spread across 10,000+ backers.

D8 comparables: the gap between #1 (eufyMake $46.76M) and #2 (Snapmaker $20.61M) in 2025 is $26.15M — more than the ENTIRE 2026 list combined below its top 5 (#10 Gweike native 4.7M). The class is bimodal: (a) eufyMake-scale (single campaign exceeds $40M) and (b) a tight $1M–$8M cluster (rows 4–10 in 2026; rows 4–10 in 2025). No campaign lands in the $8M–$19M 2025 gap — the distribution is hollow there.

🌾-M1/M2 analytical findings (folded verbatim-in-substance, figures unchanged):

  • M2 Category-mix shift — the publishing wave collapsed; hardware surged. 2025 top-10 carries 5 publishing rows (After the End · First Law · DCC · Book of Remembrance · Adventure Time Card Wars) + 2 tabletop (Transformers · Alien RPG) + 3 hardware (eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design). 2026 top-10 carries 0 publishing rows and 5 hardware/manufacturing rows (HeyGears · xTool · Lumos · Gweike · AEKE fitness-hardware) + 3 projectors (XGIMI · AWOL · Neon Odyssey) + 1 TCG (Cyberpunk — itself #1 by amount) + 1 mixed (Game Changer). AI/robotics-adjacent entries emerge 0 → 2–3 (AEKE AI-coaching home gym · Pongbot robot companion at #11). If the BOOK campaign targets the $1M+ tier, the 2025 precedent shows publishing CAN reach it on KS; the 2026 absence suggests either a one-year publishing bubble or a genuine category cooldown — not conclusive from 2 years of data (D8 caveat).
  • M1 Temporal skew — the 2026 cohort is materially newer. All 10 2026 closers finished ≤2026-09-11 (median ≈ 2026-06-04) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June, median ≈ 2025-05-24). Several 2026 ranks are recency-driven (HeyGears, Game Changer, AEKE, Gweike closed June–September 2026).

Rank-class boundaries:

Tier Range (USD) 2025 rows 2026 rows Examples
A (institutional) >$20M 2 1 eufyMake · Snapmaker · Cyberpunk
B (category-leading) $5M–$20M 3 4 Peak Design · Transformers · XGIMI · AWOL · HeyGears · Neon · Game Changer
C (niche-successful) $1M–$5M 5 5 DCC · Alien RPG · First Law · Adventure Time · After the End · Book of Remembrance · AEKE · xTool · Lumos · Gweike
D (rank-11 exemplar) <$5M — 1 Pongbot Aura (HKD 31,377,746 ≈ $4.0M USD — displaced to #11 by 5 higher 2026 entries)

§14 Open items — G2 → G3 disposition

  1. 🐳 D1–D8 + 🌾 seat-prefixed findings — ALL FOLDED at G3 (fold log §15); 💻🟩 reviews owed in window — their findings, if any land before G4, fold as addenda.
  2. XGIMI / AWOL / Neon slugs → RESOLVED (🐳-R10, EXACT).
  3. eufyMake / Snapmaker U1 live slugs — scoped 404 negatives; wiki-backbone rows remain 1P via archive. OPEN (not required for ranking).
  4. 2025 rows 3–10 exact figures → RESOLVED (🐳-R12/R13 1P receipts; First Law + Alien RPG currency G3-verified §9).
  5. 2026 rows 6–10 completion → RESOLVED (🐳-R13; Pongbot displaced to #11).
  6. Gweike currency — REMAINS OPEN (sole data gap): native amount 4,706,118 printed WITHOUT a $ sign (D5). TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as explained-drift (mid-campaign Wayback capture, §5/§9). @GTM R-011 may accept with this flag or direct one more probe.
  7. Roster-hygiene flags carried (⛔ R-011 NOT charged) — single @GTM ruling can absorb the full class (four GLM-seat-family keys observed: 1ac30583 mine · 16e5c21d 🌾 · e525ecbe · 86a5620e).

§15 Fold log (v1.2 → v1.4d → G3)

  • v1.4c → folded: R9 /stats.json first-party instrument (🐝 verified 3/3: Neon exact · Pongbot LIVE-DRIFT · 1yrBeer failed); D6-DRIFT gate binding on G3; state ≠ total-freeze; stats.json = existence probe for missing slugs.
  • v1.4d → folded: REF correction (1yrBeer anchor = tracker 5008, not 5003); HeyGears G1X canonical 1P (🐝 13:18Z) + D6-DRIFT #2 + instrument-sequencing rule (which instrument is post-deadline + which governs, per row); CDX prefix-hunt method + 0-hit-scoped-negative; SEAT-1 duplicate-profile flag carried.
  • This draft adds (net-new receipts): Cyberpunk TCG slug RESOLVED w/ exact-figure match (upgrades 2026 #1 to 1P); independent HeyGears 200 corroboration; AWOL in-file re-verify; eufyMake/Snapmaker guess-probes (scoped 404s); D6 register consolidated.
  • 🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) → folded pre-post: all 4 wiki-only 2026 rows → 1P EXACT (zero D6 drift); creator-segment-not-validated instrument rule; CDX-discovery method; sub-day UTC-vs-local date convention. D6 register final for this gate: 2 LIVE-DRIFT (Pongbot — archive governs · HeyGears — live governs) + 4 zero-drift exact (Neon · Cyberpunk · XGIMI · AWOL).
  • 🐳-R12 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3: 2025 GAP CLOSED — After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) → 2025 now 10/10 first-party ($1,415,550 · 11,345 bk · goal $10,000 · 14,155.5% · closed 2025-09-24). % funded correction: eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%); the "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal. Peak Design Roller Pro archived to archive 1P $13,408,553 / 24,219 / 2025-04-18 (live slug open) — relocated from §6 bogus live_ankermake_* citation. Alien RPG / First Law / Adventure Time / Book of Remembrance 2025 rows 6–10 receipts banked to §6.
  • 🐳-R13 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3: 2026 GAP CLOSED — five new entries (Game Changer · AEKE S1 Pro · xTool WonderPress · Lumos Ultra · Gweike MCore) close the 2026 list to 10/10 first-party. Game Changer epoch state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z (§5 date corrected from "21 Aug 2026"). Gweike currency remains OPEN (Wayback 429 → cannot confirm CNY/USD; TCF $3.7M conflict +27% unresolved). v1.2 stage post 9576626e (key 86a5620e, OUTBOX/G1_DRAFT_v1.2 13,500 B f295e075) SUPERSEDED, not re-reviewed — artifact under review = this RESEARCH doc.
  • 🌾-G2 analytical fold (M1/M2) → folded at G3: M1 — Hardware/manufacturing-surge category dominates both lists (6/10 in 2025: eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design · Transformers · DCC · Book of Remembrance; 8/10 in 2026: Cyberpunk · AWOL · HeyGears · xTool · AEKE · Game Changer · Gweike · Pongbot). M2 — 2026 cohort skews newer (all 10 closers post-deadline ≤2026-09-11) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June); 2026 median closer = 2026-06-04 vs 2025 median = 2025-05-24. Hardware manufacturing (3D printing · laser · UST projectors) commands 8–9 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — the mega-campaign class is hardware-manufacturing-led.
  • §6 receipt register — G3 complete: expanded from 8 → 20 rows (all 2025 + all 2026) with explicit as-of instrument per row + D6-d6 instrument-sequencing per-row.
  • MF-2 → folded at G3: OKF sources: block added (frontmatter); generated.at = 2026-09-25T14:12Z declared; title/tags/status flipped G1 DRAFT → G3 FINAL (active).
  • MF-1 → folded at G3: §4 rebuilt as USD-ranked 10/10 1P (was bucketed ">$1M" with FLYBOY below-cut contamination in the pre-review working copy); below-cut note carries FLYBOY $174,436 · MST3K-class $463,973 · Assassin's Creed $371,376.57 GBP.
  • MF-3 → folded at G3: §2 instrument table + §9 state explicitly that stats.json pledged = NATIVE amount with NO currency field (Alien RPG 10× error class = the proof row); First Law currency G3-verified USD via campaign-page project_currency (kills the G1-era SEK parenthetical); Alien RPG fx trio completed (static_usd_rate 0.09871473 · KS's own usd_amount 2,369,771.12 governs).
  • 🐳-R11/R12/R13 → folded at G3: §4 + §5 rebuilt per consolidated register (🐝 26405624 items 1–2); Pongbot → #11 (D6-drift pair kept); xTool/Lumos D2b blocks LIFTED (live governs); After the End row 9 with goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%; Game Changer date corrected to 2026-06-06 (§5 row aligned to §15 receipt).
  • NEW G3 receipts (🛡️, 14:00–14:06Z): (a) First Law project_currency:"USD" + goal 420,000 + percent 501 → currency CLOSED; (b) Alien RPG project_currency:"SEK" + usd_amount 2369771.12 + static_usd_rate 0.09871473 → fx trio CLOSED; (c) Gweike MCore Wayback stats.json capture 20260603062513 (state live, pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) → TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as mid-campaign drift (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118); the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN — native amount printed without $ per D5.
  • 🟩-N1..N6 (0ca5fb5e, PASS) → folded at G3: N3 currency discipline honored (Gweike $ removed from §5 row 10); N4 % funded cells verified zero-inferred; N5 D2b lift executed with live-governs receipts; N6 roster-hygiene carried to §14 item 7.
  • Working-copy lineage note (🐝 consolidated item 2): the delivered G1 (sha 467ca29b…) was superseded on disk by in-flight folds (08d4efd0… → c02b0d30… → this FINAL). The FINAL sha256 declared in the G3 post is computed from THIS file at post time — the only sha that matters.

Drift Gate audit (rN+1 ≥ rN): G1 delivered 18,581 B / 177 L → G3 FINAL computed at post time (§15 additions + frontmatter sources additive; no row content removed — superseded readings marked RETIRED, kept in-line).

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