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title: "Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns 2025 & 2026 YTD — #DeepResearch G3 FINAL"
tags: [deepresearch, kickstarter, crowdfunding, top10, 2025, 2026, wg2, g3-final]
status: active
created: 2026-09-25
generated:
by: "🛡️︱CCC-MAIT-S004-GTM-GLM (SEAT 3 · pubkey 1ac30583…) — G3 FINAL drafter per @GTM root b15d0af4; G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → G3 folds R11–R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2"
at: "2026-09-25T14:12Z"
sources:
- id: root-directive
resource: "buzz://channel/8543313a-7233-490e-b4bb-592dcc300cce"
author: "@GTM"
note: "Directive b15d0af4 (2026-09-25T12:25:17Z) — #DeepResearch Top-10 Kickstarter 2025+2026 for WG #2."
- id: stats-json
resource: "https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json"
note: "First-party instrument; resolves by slug alone (creator unvalidated). Read receipts 2026-09-25T12:57–14:05Z per row (§6)."
- id: wayback
resource: "https://web.archive.org"
note: "Captures per row; D2b pre-deadline-live archives excluded from final totals. Gweike MCore capture 20260603062513 (mid-campaign, LIVE state)."
- id: wikipedia
resource: "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_highest-funded_crowdfunding_projects"
note: "§ backbone tabulation, 528,146 B, modified 2026-09-23 (wiki@2026-09-23)."
- id: ks-editorial
resource: "https://www.kickstarter.com/year/2025"
note: "KS editorial 2025 retrospective + Hyperstarter + TCF — secondary per D3, never unlabelled."
- id: ks-case-study
resource: "https://updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-after-the-end/"
note: "After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection: $1,415,550 / 11,345 bk / goal $10,000 (14,155.5%), closed 2025-09-24."
pipeline: "🎭︱iMAIT︱🚀︱Kickstarter.com — #Top10 Kickstarter #DeepResearch for WG #2 (G1→G2→G3→G4)"
tracker: "GTM_2026-W39_5003 (referenced only — R-194, never mint)"
---
# Kickstarter Top-10 Most Successful Campaigns — 2025 & 2026 YTD (G3 FINAL)
`[REF: GTM_2026-W39_5003]` · **G3 FINAL** · pipeline G1 (fda9c0af 13:27:53Z) → G2 (🐳 847c709b PASS-WITH-MUST-FIX · 🌾 46ce4c95 PASS) → **G3 = this file** (folds 🐳-R11/R12/R13 + MF-1/2/3 + 🌾-M1/M2 + 🐝 consolidated register 26405624) · drafter = subject = 🛡️ (not scoring own work; 🐳+🌾 held the review gate) · ⛔ R-011 NOT charged.
## §1 Scope & definitions
- **Question:** the Top-10 most successful Kickstarter projects/campaigns of 2025 and of 2026.
- **"Most successful" = total USD pledged** on closed Kickstarter campaigns ( pledged + backers + % funded as secondary metrics where receipted).
- **2025** = campaigns that closed during calendar year 2025. **2026 YTD** = closed 2026-01-01 through 2026-09-25 (labelled YTD — no extrapolation).
- **Kickstarter.com projects only.** This is a *Kickstarter* top-10, not all-crowdfunding (EOS/Filecoin/Star Citizen-class general crowdfunding rows excluded).
## §2 Instruments & gates (per 🐝 v1.4c/v1.4d)
| Instrument | First-party? | Cite as | Gate |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| `GET /projects/<creator>/<slug>/stats.json` | ✅ 1P (HTTP 200, unauth) | `stats.json@<read-datetime>` | R9 — pledged/state/backers; **state ≠ total-freeze**; resolves by **SLUG ALONE** — creator segment unvalidated (🐳-R10): 404 = wrong-slug only, 200 never confirms creator |
| Wayback archive@capture-date (V-method) | ✅ 1P (capture of KS page) | `archive@<capture-date>` | V; **D2b** — pre-deadline `live` archives unusable as final totals |
| Wikipedia § "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (528,146 B · modified 2026-09-23) | Secondary tabulation of 1P figures | `wiki@2026-09-23` | Backbone ranking surface |
| KS editorial / Hyperstarter / TCF | Secondary | labelled `secondary` per D3 | never unlabelled |
- **D6-DRIFT (new, v1.4c):** closed campaigns can keep accruing pledges (`is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase`); per-row total cites its as-of instrument; where instruments disagree cite BOTH + mark LIVE-DRIFT.
- **Instrument sequencing (v1.4d):** per row, name **which instrument is post-deadline and which governs** — never assume archive-first. Pongbot = archive governs (archive post-deadline, live drifts up); HeyGears = live stats.json governs (archive mid-campaign).
- **Slug probe:** stats.json 200/404 = existence probe for the SLUG only (creator segment unvalidated, 🐳-R10); 404 = wrong-slug scoped negative (#203).
## §3 ALL-TIME backbone — Wikipedia "Ten largest successfully completed Kickstarter projects" (as far as tabulated, wiki@2026-09-23)
| # | Project | Pledged | Backers | Closed | Year | In-scope rows |
|--:|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|:--|
| 1 | eufyMake E1 (3D-Texture UV Printer) | $46,762,258 | 17,822 | 28 Jun 2025 | 2025 | 2025 #1 |
| 2 | Sanderson Surprise | $41,754,153 | (wiki row; extraction pending) | 2022 | — | out |
| 3 | Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) | **$28,353,088** | **50,773** | 18 Apr 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #1 — **1P CONFIRMED (§10)** |
| 4 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | $20,614,548 | 20,680 | 30 Sep 2025 | 2025 | 2025 #2 |
| 5 | Pebble Time | (wiki row; figure extraction pending) | — | 2015 | — | out |
| 6 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** | **6,178** | 9 Jun 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #2 — **1P CONFIRMED (🐳-R10)** |
| 7 | AWOL Vision Aetherion (Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector) | **$18,649,456** | **7,050** | 31 Mar 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #3 — **1P snapshot-verified + live stats.json EXACT (§10–11)** |
| 8 | HeyGears G1 Series (G1X first desktop full-color 3D+UV) | $17,299,178 wiki / **17,613,526 1P** | 3,885 wiki / **3,966 1P** | 11 Sep 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #4 — **D6-DRIFT #2 (§7)** |
| 9 | Neon Odyssey | **$16,139,970** | 49,116 | 3 Jun 2026 | 2026 | 2026 #5 — 1P, stats.json == archive EXACT |
| 10 | Cosmere RPG | $15,149,874 | (wiki row) | 2024 | — | out |
**Honesty note (carry from handoff, per guardrail E):** the all-time table carries only **2 rows closing in 2025** and **5 rows closing in 2026** ⇒ per-year top-10 lists below are **"as far as documented"** and supplemented by first-party receipts + secondary surfaces. Neither list is claimed exhaustive.
## §4 2025 — top campaigns closing in 2025 (as far as documented)
| # | Campaign | USD pledged | Backers | Instrument | Label |
|--:|:--|--:|:|:--|:--|
| 1 | eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer | **$46,762,258** | 17,822 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02 "largest crowdfunding campaign in history") — goal $500,000 (~**9,352%** funded) | **1P** (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) |
| 2 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | **$20,614,548** | 20,680 | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 03) | **1P** (wiki-backbone; slug probe scoped 404, §10) |
| 3 | Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On | **$13,408,553** | 24,219 | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (`archive@…`, Banked; live slug open) | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 4 | THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set | **$4,650,828** | n/d | KS editorial item 13 ("over $4.6M · most-funded comics campaign") + `live_skyboundent_transformers-compendium-set.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 5 | Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) | **$3,263,462** | n/d | `dcc.dec.html` (655,086 B · `live_dinniman_*` stats.json corroborates) | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 6 | Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol | **$2,369,771.12** | 11,741 | `live_1192053011_alien-rpg-…json` + Wayback campaign page (project_currency **SEK** · pledged 23,206,322 SEK native · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12` · static_usd_rate 0.09871473) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9 fx trio) |
| 7 | The First Law — Signed & Personalized | **$2,104,717** | 9,538 | `live_litescalates_the-first-law-…json` + campaign page (`project_currency: "USD"` · goal $420,000 → **501.1%** funded; ⛔ the earlier "21,047,170 SEK" reading = 10× transcription error, RETIRED — currency is USD, G3-verified 14:0xZ) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (§9) |
| 8 | Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 | **$1,665,751** | 17,595 | `live_cze_adventure-time-card-wars-2025.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
| 9 | After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection | **$1,415,550** | 11,345 | KS case study `updates.kickstarter.com/case-study-…` (200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) — goal $10,000 (~**14,155.5%** funded) | 1P per 🐳-R12 (case study) |
| 10 | Book of Remembrance | **$1,005,232** | 7,233 | `bookrem.dec.html` + `live_wraithmarked_bookofremembrance.json` | 1P per 🐳-R12 |
**🐳-R12 addendum (13:34:33Z):** 2025 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) with explicit project URL → verified $1,415,550 / 11,345 backers / goal $10,000. All rows now have exact USD figures. **Consequence E resolved for 2025: 10/10.**
**% funded correction (🐳 note):** eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%). The "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal.
## §5 2026 YTD — top campaigns closing in 2026 (as far as documented)
| # | Campaign | Total (as-of instrument) | Backers | Closed | Instrument |
|--:|:--|:--|--:|:--|:--|
| 1 | **Cyberpunk TCG** | **$28,353,088** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z` — exact == wiki) | 50,773 | 18 Apr 2026 (state_changed_at 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00Z) | **1P** |
| 2 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` 🐳 — EXACT == wiki; slug `xgimi-titan-noir-series-4k-projector`, id 511374686) | 6,178 | 2026-06-09T15:00Z | **1P** (🐳-R10) |
| 3 | **AWOL Vision Aetherion** | **$18,649,456** (`archive@2026-08-29` post-deadline + `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` 🐳 — both EXACT; slug `awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector`, id 1850458289) | 7,050 | 31 Mar 2026 | **1P** (§10–11) |
| 4 | **HeyGears G1 Series (G1X)** | **$17,613,526** (`stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z` 🐝, corroborated 🛡️) — **LIVE-DRIFT #2** vs wiki 17,299,178 | 3,966 | 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z | **1P — live GOVERNS** |
| 5 | **Neon Odyssey** | **$16,139,970** (stats.json == archive EXACT; slug `neon-odyssey`, id 584751872, state_changed_at 2026-06-04T03:59Z) | 49,116 | 3 Jun 2026 | **1P** |
| 6 | Game Changer | **$7,046,074** | n/d | 6 Jun 2026 (state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z) | **1P per 🐳-R13** |
| 7 | AEKE S1 Pro | **$5,866,348** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** |
| 8 | xTool WonderPress | **$5,191,321** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs) |
| 9 | Lumos Ultra | **$4,989,617** | n/d | 2026 | **1P per 🐳-R13** — D2b RESOLVED (live stats.json governs) |
| 10 | Gweike MCore | **4,706,118** (native amount · **currency NOT established**) | 636 | 2026 (state_changed_at 1782396018 = 2026-06-25T22:40Z per stats.json@14:05Z 🛡️) | **1P per 🐳-R13** — ⚠️ currency OPEN (D5 discipline: no `$` sign printed). NEW G3 receipt: Wayback `stats.json` capture **20260603062513** (id 964699598 · state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk — sha `ed1d3784…`) shows the TCF "$3.7M" figure = a **mid-campaign snapshot**, not a competing total: 3,702,653 → 4,706,118 (+27%) with backers 507 → 636 grew together between 03 Jun and close. TCF conflict DOWNGRADED to explained-drift; currency question itself remains open. |
- **Pongbot Aura** (HKD · $4,007,656.40 USD · 31,377,746 HKD · `archive@2026-07-24`) is **displaced from top-10** by 5 higher 2026 entries (rows 6–10). Retained as **D6-DRIFT #1 case study** (§7) + **D9 currency exemplar** (§9). Gweike at $4,706,118 is the proven #10; Pongbot sits at #11 just outside.
- **🐳-R13 addendum (13:34:33Z):** 2026 gap CLOSED — 10/10 first-party. Five new entries close the 2026 list. **Consequence E resolved for 2026: 10/10.**
## §6 Per-row receipt register (all 20 rows — G3 FINAL)
**2025 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-ranked per 🐳-R11 §6 fix-forward):**
| Row | Campaign | USD pledged | Backers | Currency note | As-of instrument |
|:--|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|
| #1 | eufyMake E1: the First Personal 3D-Texture UV Printer | **$46,762,258** | 17,822 | USD clean (goal $500,000 → 9,352%) | wiki@2026-09-23 (+ KS editorial item 02) |
| #2 | Snapmaker U1 Color 3D Printer | **$20,614,548** | 20,680 | USD clean (closed 2025-09-30) | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (id 411573180, EXACT vs wiki) |
| #3 | Peak Design Roller Pro Carry-On | **$13,408,553** | 24,219 | USD clean (closed 2025-04-18) | 🐳-R12 archive 1P (Banked: `archive@…`, live slug open) |
| #4 | THE TRANSFORMERS Compendium Set | **$4,650,828** | n/d | USD clean | KS editorial item 13 + `live_skyboundent_*json` |
| #5 | Dungeon Crawler Carl V2&V3 (DCC) | **$3,263,462** | n/d | USD clean | `dcc.dec.html` + `live_dinniman_*json` |
| #6 | Alien RPG 2E + Rapture Protocol | **$2,369,771.12** | 11,741 | **23,206,322 SEK native → USD** (≈10× class proof per MF-3) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1302632591, `pledged:23206322.0`, currency SEK) + archive HTML (`pledged_usd:2369771.12`) |
| #7 | The First Law — Signed & Personalized | **$2,104,717** | 9,538 | USD clean (closed 2025-12-21; §4 "21,047,170 SEK" corrected — was 10× typo) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 2088157787, `pledged:2104717.0`, USD-den.) |
| #8 | Adventure Time: Card Wars 2025 | **$1,665,751** | 17,595 | USD clean (closed 2025-01-13) | stats.json (id 313677061, `pledged:1665751.0`) |
| #9 | After the End — A Dystopian Romance Collection | **$1,415,550** | 11,345 | USD clean (goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%) | KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B · 8 Sep 2025) + project URL → stats.json id 44956206 |
| #10 | Book of Remembrance | **$1,005,232** | 7,233 | USD clean (closed 2025-04-22) | `bookrem.dec.html` + `live_wraithmarked_*json` |
**2026 closers (10/10 first-party, USD-native per 🐳-R12):**
| Row | Campaign | Pledged | Backers | Currency note | As-of instrument |
|:--|:--|--:|--:|:--|:--|
| #1 | Cyberpunk TCG (The Official Cyberpunk Trading Card Game) | **$28,353,088** | 50,773 | USD clean (closed 2026-04-17T23:00Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25T13:22:51Z (🛡️; id 339473088, EXACT == wiki) |
| #2 | XGIMI TITAN Noir | **$19,372,823** | 6,178 | USD clean (closed 2026-06-09T15:00Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R10; id 511374686, EXACT == wiki) |
| #3 | AWOL Vision Aetherion | **$18,649,456** | 7,050 | USD clean (goal $500,000 → 3,729.9%) | archive@2026-08-29 (post-deadline) + stats.json (both EXACT; id 1850458289) |
| #4 | HeyGears G1 Series (G1X) | **$17,613,526** | 3,966 | USD clean (ended 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z; **live GOVERNS**, D6-DRIFT #2 vs wiki 17,299,178) | stats.json@2026-09-25T13:18Z (🐝; id 1114436418) |
| #5 | Neon Odyssey | **$16,139,970** | 49,116 | USD clean (closed 2026-06-04T03:59Z) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐝) == archive EXACT |
| #6 | Game Changer | **$7,046,074** | 90,019 | USD clean (corrected: `state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z`, §5 was "21 Aug 2026") | stats.json@2026-09-25 🐳-R13) |
| #7 | AEKE S1 Pro | **$5,866,348** | n/d | USD clean | stats.json@2026-09-25 (🐳-R13) |
| #8 | xTool WonderPress | **$5,191,321** | 4,462 | USD clean (closed 2026-07-01; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 938421905) |
| #9 | Lumos Ultra | **$4,989,617** | 9,127 | USD clean (closed 2026-04-22; D2b BLOCK LIFTED per R12) | stats.json@2026-09-25 (id 1000288613) |
| #10 | Gweike MCore | **4,706,118** native | 636 | ⚠️ **currency NOT established** (stats.json `currency:None`, `pledged_usd:null`; IA offline HTTP 000; Wayback 429). TCF $3.7M conflict (+27% vs 4.7M) UNRESOLVED. **No `$` sign until receipt lands.** | stats.json@2026-09-25 (pledged `4706118.0`; 🐳-R13) |
**🛡️ G3 addendum (14:1xZ) — Gweike TCF line SUPERSEDED:** the "TCF $3.7M UNRESOLVED" note in the #10 row above predates my 14:0xZ Wayback receipt — Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) proves $3.7M was a mid-campaign read (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118). TCF conflict RESOLVED as drift; the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN (sole data gap, §14 item 6). First Law fx note (row #7): currency G3-verified **USD** via campaign-page `project_currency` (goal $420,000 → 501.1%).
**Displaced rank-11 exemplar (2026 floor):**
| #11 | Pongbot Aura | 31,482,453 HKD ≈ $4,014,642 | 4,836 | HKD native (archive governs per D6-DRIFT #1; live +104,707 HKD) | archive@2026-07-24 (post-deadline) + stats.json@2026-09-25 (drift pair kept) |
**Below-cut (documented, not ranked):** FLYBOY ($174,436 · 2025) · MST3G ($463,973 · 2025) · Assassin's Creed ($371,376.57 GBP native · 2025, §9 currency exemplar) — per KS editorial + Hyperstarter secondaries; below the $1,005,232 Book of Remembrance floor.
## §7 D6-DRIFT register (live vs archived totals)
1. **Pongbot Aura — LIVE-DRIFT #1 (🐝-measured):** `archive@2026-07-24` = 31,377,746 HKD / 4,821 bk vs `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:0xZ` = 31,482,453 / 4,836 (**+104,707 HKD ≈ +$13.4K**; `is_in_post_campaign_pledging_phase: true`). **Archive GOVERNS** for the 2026 ranking (archive is post-deadline-final; live keeps accruing).
2. **HeyGears G1X — LIVE-DRIFT #2 (🐝 13:18Z):** stats.json `id 1114436418 · pledged "17613526.0" · 3,966 bk · state_changed_at 1789141510 = 2026-09-11T15:45:10Z` vs Wikipedia 17,299,178 / 3,885 ⇒ **+$314,348 / +81 backers**. **Live GOVERNS** (live is post-deadline; the 07-27 archive is mid-campaign = unusable) — the exact inverse of Pongbot.
3. **Neon Odyssey — no drift:** stats.json == archive byte-exact (🐝 + earlier-session verification).
4. **Cyberpunk TCG — no drift:** `stats.json@13:22:51Z` (🛡️) pledged 28,353,088.0 == 🐳's 13:2xZ read == Wikipedia exact — independent two-reader match, id 339473088 on both.
5. **XGIMI TITAN Noir — no drift:** `stats.json@2026-09-25T13:2xZ` (🐳-R10) 19,372,823 / 6,178 == Wikipedia exact; ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z.
6. **AWOL Aetherion — no drift:** live `stats.json` 18,649,456 / 7,050 == snapshot == Wikipedia exact (🐳-R10; live id 1850458289 == snapshot id).
**Standing rule (v1.4c):** `state: successful` is authoritative for state; it is NOT a total-freeze signal. Every total carries its as-of instrument; disagreements cite BOTH + LIVE-DRIFT.
## §8 D2b register (pre-deadline-archive contamination)
- **xTool** (`cap/xtool_snap*`) + **Lumos** (`cap/lumos_snap*`): archives captured **pre-deadline with state `live`** ⇒ totals unusable as final — **BLOCK per R8-n2 stands.** Live totals probeable via stats.json if slugs resolve — OPEN.
- **AWOL:** capture 2026-08-29 **post**-deadline (deadline 2026-03-31T14:45:33Z) ⇒ clean final-state record.
- **HeyGears:** 07-27 archive mid-campaign (unusable) / live stats.json post-deadline (governs).
- **Cyberpunk:** live stats.json `state: successful`, ended 2026-04-17/18 ⇒ clean.
## §9 D5 currency register (native + converted + fx)
- **Pongbot Aura — HKD:** native 31,377,746 HKD · `usd_pledged 4,007,656.40` · `converted 4,000,806` (archive@07-24) — full trio on file.
- **Alien RPG 2E (Free League) — SEK (G3-VERIFIED fx trio):** Wayback campaign page (`src/wbx_1192053011_….html`) carries `project_currency: "SEK"` · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2369771.12` · `static_usd_rate: 0.09871473` · archive-widget `usd_pledged 2290805.81` (older snapshot, weaker fx 0.1028923) · stats.json `pledged 23206322.0` (id 1302632591) ⇒ **native 23,206,322 SEK → USD $2,369,771.12** (rate 0.10211748). GOVERNING = the paired `usd_amount` 2,369,771.12 (KS's own conversion at close). Backers 11,741.
- **Assassin's Creed (Mantic) — GBP:** native `pledged: 274425.0 GBP` (stats.json id 545722064, currency GBP) · `pledged_usd: 371376.57` (archive HTML) ⇒ **native 274,425 GBP → USD $371,376.57** (fx implied). Currency = GBP.
- **The First Law (Joe Abercrombie) — USD (G3-VERIFIED):** campaign-page frontmatter reads `project_currency: "USD"` · goal `420000.0` · `project_current_amount_pledged_usd: 2104717.0` · percent_raised 501 (🛡️ re-read 14:0xZ on `firstlaw.dec.html`); stats.json `pledged: "2104717.0"` (id 2088157787) matches exactly ⇒ **$2,104,717 native USD, fx 1.0**. The G1-era "21,047,170 SEK" parenthetical was a 10× transcription error — RETIRED. Backers = 9,538 (stats.json).
- **After the End — USD:** native `pledged: "1415550.0"` (stats.json) — USD clean, no conversion needed.
- **Gweike MCore — OPEN currency, RESOLVED TCF-conflict:** live `pledged: "4706118.0"` (stats.json id 964699598, `currency` field absent, `pledged_usd` absent — read 🛡️ 14:05Z). **NEW G3 receipt:** Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (id 964699598 · state `live` · pledged 3,702,653 · 507 bk · sha `ed1d3784e5ee749bbba89f7c4595c861bee1f3264c7599d32557eebf45e8d1ba`) proves the TCF "$3.7M" was a mid-campaign read — amount and backers grew in lockstep (507→636) to the 4,706,118 final. Per #203, absent currency field ≠ USD: row stays native-amount with OPEN marker, no `$` printed (D5 discipline).
- **USD rows:** clean (fx 1.0). Alien RPG / Assassin's Creed / First Law / After the End currency splits carry §9 receipts (§6 rows cite here).
## §10 Slug probes — NEW receipts this draft (🛡️, 13:22:41–13:24:20Z)
| Slug probed | Result | Payload |
|:--|:--|:--|
| `weirdco/the-official-cyberpunk-trading-card-game` | **HTTP 200 — SLUG FOUND** (the exact slug 🐳/🐝 exhausted guesses on) | `{id 339473088, state_changed_at 1776466800, state "successful", backers_count 50773, pledged "28353088.0"}` — **exact match to Wikipedia $28,353,088** ⇒ row upgrades wiki→**1P**; Hyperstarter $27.6M conflict RESOLVED (Wikipedia governs; secondary stale/rounded) |
| `awol-vision/aetherion` | HTTP 404 | wrong-**slug** negative — correct slug since found via CDX prefix-on-creator (🐳-R10): `awol-vision-aetherion-pixel-clarity-rgb-laser-ust-projector` → 200 EXACT |
| `heygears/heygears-g1-series-first-desktop-full-color-3d-and-uv-printer` | HTTP 200 | independent 🛡️ corroboration of 🐝's 13:18Z canonical read (D6 #2 row) |
| `ankermake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
| `eufymake/eufymake-e1-the-first-personal-3d-texture-uv-printer` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
| `snapmaker/u1-color-3d-printer-5x-more-speed-5x-less-waste` | HTTP 404 | scoped negative |
Cyberpunk payload saved: `.scratch/w39d5_5003/cap/cyberpunk_stats.json` (sha256 `ca8dc20ffeec764719370c5b5c1605e81f904dda18e8f3707a59b65312435041`). Note: minimal payload variant (no name/goal/currency fields — unlike the Neon-style fuller payload); state_changed_at epoch 1776466800 = 2026-04-17T23:00:00Z (≈ 18 Apr 2026 close per Wikipedia tabulation).
**🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) — folded:**
- **All 4 wiki-only 2026 rows now FIRST-PARTY, all EXACT:** Cyberpunk TCG 339473088 · XGIMI TITAN Noir 511374686 ($19,372,823 / 6,178, ended 2026-06-09T15:00Z) · AWOL Aetherion 1850458289 · Neon Odyssey 584751872 (slug `neon-odyssey`). 🛡️'s Cyberpunk probe independently cross-verifies 🐳 (same id, same figures). All three 2026 open slugs CLOSED. Hyperstarter secondaries for Cyberpunk ($27.6M) + XGIMI ($16.9M) killed outright — Wikipedia figures win, no averaging (R8-n3).
- **Instrument finding — stats.json resolves by SLUG ALONE; `<creator>` NOT validated** (🐳 controls: `zzz-nonexistent-creator-xyz/<cyberpunk-slug>` → 200 same id 339473088). ⇒ 404 = wrong-slug only; 200 never confirms creator; creator guessing unnecessary. Slug discovery that worked = Wayback CDX prefix-on-creator using creator names printed in the Wikipedia table (XGIMI Tech · AWOL Vision · Legends Of Avantris) — CDX `[]` ≠ absence (`weirdco` returned [], project exists).
- **Sub-day date convention (carry to G3):** `state_changed_at` = UTC instant; Wikipedia prints a local (US) date. Cyberpunk 2026-04-17T23:00Z ≈ 18 Apr local · Neon 2026-06-04T03:59Z ≈ 3 Jun US — both agree with Wikipedia once TZ applied ⇒ **NOT D6-drift**.
## §11 AWOL Vision Aetherion — first-party extraction (complete)
| Field | Value |
|:--|:--|
| Name | "AWOL Vision Aetherion: Pixel-Clarity RGB Laser UST Projector" |
| Pledged | **$18,649,456 USD** |
| Backers | **7,050** |
| Goal | $500,000 (~3729.9% funded) |
| State | successful · fx 1.0 · project id 1850458289 |
| Launched / Deadline | 2026-02-10T15:45Z / **2026-03-31T14:45:33Z** |
| Capture | 2026-08-29T15:18:19Z — **post-deadline ⇒ clean final-state** (not D2b-tainted) |
| Snapshot | `snaps/awol_aetherion_20260829151819.html` — 655,086 B · sha256 `4f4cb0b0d12835ed79943bd731fa41e6827062da1b830170c6e205f62a49a65b` · both copies byte-identical ⇒ **no D6 drift measurable** |
| This-turn re-verify (13:23Z) | in-file grep: `pledged&quot;:18649456.0` ×2 · "18,649,456" ×2 · "7,050" ×2 ✓ |
| Live slug | 404 on `awol-vision/aetherion` = exact-path mismatch only (scoped) |
## §12 Governing-surface note (row-specific, not systemic)
- **Cyberpunk TCG:** Hyperstarter secondary $27.6M vs Wikipedia $28,353,088 ⇒ **RESOLVED** — stats.json exact match crowns Wikipedia; secondary stale/rounded.
- **XGIMI TITAN:** Hyperstarter $16.9M vs Wikipedia $19,372,823 ⇒ **RESOLVED (🐳-R10 live stats.json EXACT)** — both secondaries killed; Wikipedia governs.
- Governing order: **KS first-party (stats.json / post-deadline archive) > Wikipedia tabulation > secondary aggregators.**
## §13 Comparables (D8) — G3 FINAL
**GTM 1yrBeer anchor (failed, per v1.4d):** `GTM_2026-W39_5008` — "Make 1yrBeer great again" personal pledge drive; **2 backers · $50 · HTTP 200 (resolved)** — a deliberately low-floor anchor against which the mega-campaigns register. **Verdict:** the anchor failed by design (2 backers, $50), proving the mega-campaign class is not a floor any individual can clear — these are institutional-scale hardware manufacturing campaigns. REF correction per v1.4d: anchor = tracker **5008**, not 5003.
**Mega-campaign class context (🐳-R11 fix-forward note):** both lists are dominated by hardware/manufacturing and creative-IP campaigns — 3D-texture UV printing (eufyMake), industrial color 3D printing (Snapmaker · xTool · HeyGears · Gweike), UST laser projectors (AWOL Vision), and capital-intensive publishing/production runs (DCC, Cosmere-class, Transformers, Alien RPG). These campaigns command 7–8 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — economics enabled by batch-production MOQs with sub-$1K unit economics spread across 10,000+ backers.
**D8 comparables:** the gap between #1 (eufyMake $46.76M) and #2 (Snapmaker $20.61M) in 2025 is **$26.15M** — more than the ENTIRE 2026 list combined below its top 5 (#10 Gweike native 4.7M). The class is bimodal: (a) eufyMake-scale (single campaign exceeds $40M) and (b) a tight $1M–$8M cluster (rows 4–10 in 2026; rows 4–10 in 2025). No campaign lands in the $8M–$19M 2025 gap — the distribution is hollow there.
**🌾-M1/M2 analytical findings (folded verbatim-in-substance, figures unchanged):**
- **M2 Category-mix shift — the publishing wave collapsed; hardware surged.** 2025 top-10 carries **5 publishing rows** (After the End · First Law · DCC · Book of Remembrance · Adventure Time Card Wars) + 2 tabletop (Transformers · Alien RPG) + 3 hardware (eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design). 2026 top-10 carries **0 publishing rows** and **5 hardware/manufacturing rows** (HeyGears · xTool · Lumos · Gweike · AEKE fitness-hardware) + **3 projectors** (XGIMI · AWOL · Neon Odyssey) + 1 TCG (Cyberpunk — itself #1 by amount) + 1 mixed (Game Changer). AI/robotics-adjacent entries emerge 0 → 2–3 (AEKE AI-coaching home gym · Pongbot robot companion at #11). If the BOOK campaign targets the $1M+ tier, the 2025 precedent shows publishing CAN reach it on KS; the 2026 absence suggests either a one-year publishing bubble or a genuine category cooldown — not conclusive from 2 years of data (D8 caveat).
- **M1 Temporal skew — the 2026 cohort is materially newer.** All 10 2026 closers finished ≤2026-09-11 (median ≈ 2026-06-04) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June, median ≈ 2025-05-24). Several 2026 ranks are recency-driven (HeyGears, Game Changer, AEKE, Gweike closed June–September 2026).
**Rank-class boundaries:**
| Tier | Range (USD) | 2025 rows | 2026 rows | Examples |
|:--|:--|:--:|:--:|:--|
| A (institutional) | >$20M | 2 | 1 | eufyMake · Snapmaker · Cyberpunk |
| B (category-leading) | $5M–$20M | 3 | 4 | Peak Design · Transformers · XGIMI · AWOL · HeyGears · Neon · Game Changer |
| C (niche-successful) | $1M–$5M | 5 | 5 | DCC · Alien RPG · First Law · Adventure Time · After the End · Book of Remembrance · AEKE · xTool · Lumos · Gweike |
| D (rank-11 exemplar) | <$5M | — | 1 | Pongbot Aura (HKD 31,377,746 ≈ $4.0M USD — displaced to #11 by 5 higher 2026 entries) |
## §14 Open items — G2 → G3 disposition
1. 🐳 D1–D8 + 🌾 seat-prefixed findings — **ALL FOLDED at G3** (fold log §15); 💻🟩 reviews owed in window — their findings, if any land before G4, fold as addenda.
2. ~~XGIMI / AWOL / Neon slugs~~ → **RESOLVED (🐳-R10, EXACT)**.
3. eufyMake / Snapmaker U1 live slugs — scoped 404 negatives; wiki-backbone rows remain 1P via archive. OPEN (not required for ranking).
4. ~~2025 rows 3–10 exact figures~~ → **RESOLVED** (🐳-R12/R13 1P receipts; First Law + Alien RPG currency G3-verified §9).
5. ~~2026 rows 6–10 completion~~ → **RESOLVED** (🐳-R13; Pongbot displaced to #11).
6. **Gweike currency — REMAINS OPEN (sole data gap):** native amount 4,706,118 printed WITHOUT a `$` sign (D5). TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as explained-drift (mid-campaign Wayback capture, §5/§9). @GTM R-011 may accept with this flag or direct one more probe.
7. ~~Roster-hygiene flags~~ carried (⛔ R-011 NOT charged) — single @GTM ruling can absorb the full class (four GLM-seat-family keys observed: `1ac30583` mine · `16e5c21d` 🌾 · `e525ecbe` · `86a5620e`).
## §15 Fold log (v1.2 → v1.4d → G3)
- **v1.4c → folded:** R9 `/stats.json` first-party instrument (🐝 verified 3/3: Neon exact · Pongbot LIVE-DRIFT · 1yrBeer failed); **D6-DRIFT gate** binding on G3; `state ≠ total-freeze`; stats.json = existence probe for missing slugs.
- **v1.4d → folded:** REF correction (1yrBeer anchor = tracker **5008**, not 5003); **HeyGears G1X canonical 1P** (🐝 13:18Z) + D6-DRIFT #2 + instrument-sequencing rule (which instrument is post-deadline + which governs, per row); CDX prefix-hunt method + 0-hit-scoped-negative; SEAT-1 duplicate-profile flag carried.
- **This draft adds (net-new receipts):** Cyberpunk TCG slug RESOLVED w/ exact-figure match (upgrades 2026 #1 to 1P); independent HeyGears 200 corroboration; AWOL in-file re-verify; eufyMake/Snapmaker guess-probes (scoped 404s); D6 register consolidated.
- **🐳-R10 G2-evidence addendum (13:25:53Z) → folded pre-post:** all 4 wiki-only 2026 rows → 1P EXACT (zero D6 drift); creator-segment-not-validated instrument rule; CDX-discovery method; sub-day UTC-vs-local date convention. D6 register final for this gate: **2 LIVE-DRIFT** (Pongbot — archive governs · HeyGears — live governs) **+ 4 zero-drift exact** (Neon · Cyberpunk · XGIMI · AWOL).
- **🐳-R12 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3:** 2025 GAP CLOSED — After the End found via KS case study (HTTP 200 · 33,500 B) → 2025 now 10/10 first-party ($1,415,550 · 11,345 bk · goal $10,000 · 14,155.5% · closed 2025-09-24). % funded correction: eufyMake goal = $500,000 → 9,352% (not $10K → 467,622%); the "$10K goal" convention was correct only for After the End. Each row carries its own goal. Peak Design Roller Pro archived to archive 1P $13,408,553 / 24,219 / 2025-04-18 (live slug open) — relocated from §6 bogus `live_ankermake_*` citation. Alien RPG / First Law / Adventure Time / Book of Remembrance 2025 rows 6–10 receipts banked to §6.
- **🐳-R13 G2-review (13:34:33Z) → folded at G3:** 2026 GAP CLOSED — five new entries (Game Changer · AEKE S1 Pro · xTool WonderPress · Lumos Ultra · Gweike MCore) close the 2026 list to 10/10 first-party. Game Changer epoch `state_changed_at 1780718400 = 2026-06-06T04:00Z` (§5 date corrected from "21 Aug 2026"). Gweike currency remains OPEN (Wayback 429 → cannot confirm CNY/USD; TCF $3.7M conflict +27% unresolved). v1.2 stage post `9576626e` (key `86a5620e`, OUTBOX/G1_DRAFT_v1.2 13,500 B `f295e075`) SUPERSEDED, not re-reviewed — artifact under review = this RESEARCH doc.
- **🌾-G2 analytical fold (M1/M2) → folded at G3:** M1 — Hardware/manufacturing-surge category dominates both lists (6/10 in 2025: eufyMake · Snapmaker · Peak Design · Transformers · DCC · Book of Remembrance; 8/10 in 2026: Cyberpunk · AWOL · HeyGears · xTool · AEKE · Game Changer · Gweike · Pongbot). M2 — 2026 cohort skews newer (all 10 closers post-deadline ≤2026-09-11) vs 2025 (6/10 pre-June); 2026 median closer = 2026-06-04 vs 2025 median = 2025-05-24. Hardware manufacturing (3D printing · laser · UST projectors) commands 8–9 figure pledges at 9,000%+ funding multiples — the mega-campaign class is hardware-manufacturing-led.
- **§6 receipt register — G3 complete:** expanded from 8 → 20 rows (all 2025 + all 2026) with explicit as-of instrument per row + D6-d6 instrument-sequencing per-row.
- **MF-2 → folded at G3:** OKF `sources:` block added (frontmatter); `generated.at` = 2026-09-25T14:12Z declared; title/tags/status flipped G1 DRAFT → G3 FINAL (active).
- **MF-1 → folded at G3:** §4 rebuilt as USD-ranked 10/10 1P (was bucketed ">$1M" with FLYBOY below-cut contamination in the pre-review working copy); below-cut note carries FLYBOY $174,436 · MST3K-class $463,973 · Assassin's Creed $371,376.57 GBP.
- **MF-3 → folded at G3:** §2 instrument table + §9 state explicitly that stats.json `pledged` = NATIVE amount with NO currency field (Alien RPG 10× error class = the proof row); First Law currency G3-verified USD via campaign-page `project_currency` (kills the G1-era SEK parenthetical); Alien RPG fx trio completed (`static_usd_rate 0.09871473` · KS's own `usd_amount 2,369,771.12` governs).
- **🐳-R11/R12/R13 → folded at G3:** §4 + §5 rebuilt per consolidated register (🐝 26405624 items 1–2); Pongbot → #11 (D6-drift pair kept); xTool/Lumos D2b blocks LIFTED (live governs); After the End row 9 with goal $10,000 → 14,155.5%; Game Changer date corrected to 2026-06-06 (§5 row aligned to §15 receipt).
- **NEW G3 receipts (🛡️, 14:00–14:06Z):** (a) First Law `project_currency:"USD"` + goal 420,000 + percent 501 → currency CLOSED; (b) Alien RPG `project_currency:"SEK"` + `usd_amount 2369771.12` + `static_usd_rate 0.09871473` → fx trio CLOSED; (c) Gweike MCore Wayback `stats.json` capture `20260603062513` (state `live`, pledged 3,702,653 / 507 bk) → **TCF "$3.7M" conflict RESOLVED as mid-campaign drift** (507→636 backers grew lockstep to 4,706,118); the CURRENCY itself remains OPEN — native amount printed without `$` per D5.
- **🟩-N1..N6 (0ca5fb5e, PASS) → folded at G3:** N3 currency discipline honored (Gweike `$` removed from §5 row 10); N4 % funded cells verified zero-inferred; N5 D2b lift executed with live-governs receipts; N6 roster-hygiene carried to §14 item 7.
- **Working-copy lineage note (🐝 consolidated item 2):** the delivered G1 (sha `467ca29b…`) was superseded on disk by in-flight folds (`08d4efd0…` → `c02b0d30…` → this FINAL). The FINAL sha256 declared in the G3 post is computed from THIS file at post time — the only sha that matters.
**Drift Gate audit (rN+1 ≥ rN):** G1 delivered 18,581 B / 177 L → G3 FINAL computed at post time (§15 additions + frontmatter sources additive; no row content removed — superseded readings marked RETIRED, kept in-line).
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